Milwaukee Brewers vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 5/1/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Milwaukee Brewers vs Washington Nationals

Date: Friday, May 1, 2026

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: Nationals.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee (-128) Washington (+106)

The Milwaukee Brewers (15-14) are traveling to Nationals Park on Friday where they will take on the Washington Nationals (14-17). The odds on this game have the Brewers at -128 and the Nationals are coming in at +106. The over/under is set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Jacob Misiorowski and Jake Irvin.

As a unit, the Milwaukee Brewers are notching 5.1 runs per outing, which ranks them 6th in baseball. They have notched a total of 147 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .333. The Brewers have accumulated 46 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 20 balls out of the stadium. They have recorded 142 RBI's and 227 hits this season, while their batting average is .236. Milwaukee is slugging .354 and have been called out on strikes 237 times, while taking a walk on 136 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.46 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.30. Brewers pitchers have allowed 28 home runs in addition to 121 total runs (5th in the league). Milwaukee has conceded 226 base hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and 110 earned runs. The Brewers are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.83 this season (8th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 268 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 109 opposing players and their FIP is 3.85 as a team on the season.

The Brewers relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 64.3% and have come into the game in 31 save situations. They have earned 9 saves this season and have blown 5 of their 14 save chances. The relievers have inherited 45 runners so far this season and 40.0% of those runners ended up scoring. Brewers relief pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 28 times and also have had 33 appearances in high leverage situations. The Brewers have sent 97 relievers to the mound this season. The relief pitchers have a total of 17 holds for the year (15th in baseball).

The Brewers have converted 69.4% of balls in play into outs out of their 2,325 innings, which has them sitting at 18th in baseball. The Milwaukee Brewers are sitting with 775 putouts this year, in addition to 242 assists and 14 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .986 which has them ranked 12th in MLB, and have accumulated 22 double plays.

Misiorowski (6-5 record in his career) has a FIP of 3.97 while he has faced 410 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. He has allowed 74 base knocks (6.8 hits per 9 innings) with 44 free passes. His ERA is 4.03 (44 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.202. Misiorowski has pitched in 98 innings and has tallied 138 strikeouts thus far in his career.

Washington has a total of 36 home runs so far this year to go along with 157 RBIs. They have 51 two-baggers, while getting a free base 117 times and earning 170 runs. The Washington Nationals have a team on-base percentage of .326 and a team batting average of .244 this season. The Nationals have a team slugging % of .395 and they average 5.48 runs per game (2nd in the league). They have struck out on 270 occasions (10th in the league) and have totaled 263 base knocks.

The Nationals have a WHIP of 1.475 and have a FIP of 5.28 as a unit for the year. They sit at 30th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 288. The Washington pitching staff have allowed 181 runs so far this year while having a team ERA of 5.11 (159 earned runs surrendered). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 7.90 (245 strikeouts against 125 walks). They have yielded 51 home runs and they yield 5.82 runs per 9 innings (29th in the league).

They rank 28th in the league holding a save percentage of 37.5%, and they have dispatched 106 bullpen pitchers to the mound so far this year. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 33 times in high leverage situations and also on 32 occasions with base runners. With 35 save situations, the Nationals have tallied 15 holds in addition to 10 blown saves. Washington has had relievers enter the game in 16 save opportunities and they have come away with 6 saves. Washington relievers have an inherited score percentage of 48.9% out of 47 inherited runners.

In their 2,520 innings on the field, the Nationals have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.7% (23rd in pro baseball). The Washington Nationals have turned 23 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .976 (30th in professional baseball). The Nationals have racked up 287 assists, 28 errors and have 840 putouts for the season.

Irvin (23-37 career record) has a 4.94 earned run average while allowing 8.9 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.31 and he has gone up against 2,215 batters in his career. He has conceded 284 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.332 and having a FIP of 4.9. So far in his MLB career, Irvin has surrendered 510 base hits while he has tallied 413 punch outs in 517 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Washington (+106) and under 8.5 runs

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