Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 3/26/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Thursday, March 26, 2026

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+172) Baltimore (-210)

Oriole Park at Camden Yards is the site where the Baltimore Orioles (75-87 last season) will take on the Minnesota Twins (70-92 last year) on Thursday. The line on this matchup has Minnesota at +172 while Baltimore is at -210. The total comes in at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Joe Ryan and Trevor Rogers.

As a team, the Minnesota Twins recorded 4.2 runs per game, which ranked them 23rd in baseball. They earned 678 runs scored and held an on-base percentage of .310. The Twins accumulated 249 two-baggers as a team and smacked 191 baseballs out of the park. They tallied 643 RBI's and 1,295 hits in the previous season, and their batting average finished at .238. Minnesota had a slugging percentage of .397 and were rung up 1,372 times, while taking a walk on 495 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio was 2.99 and the pitching staff held a collective WHIP of 1.31. Twins pitchers allowed 194 home runs and 773 total runs (23rd in MLB). Minnesota allowed 1,411 base hits (8.9 per 9 innings) as well as 721 earned runs. The Twins finished with a team earned run average of 4.55 for the previous season (24th in baseball), and they struck out 1,372 hitters. Their pitching staff walked 459 hitters and their FIP was 4.09 as a squad over the course of last season.

The Twins sent 543 relievers to the mound during the previous year. The relief pitchers inherited 167 runners for the previous season and 35.3% of those players ended up scoring. They tallied 28 saves in the prior season and did not convert 25 of their 53 chances to get a save. The Twins relievers accumulated a save rate of 52.8% and came into the game in 150 save situations. The relief pitchers accumulated 95 holds in the previous season (11th in the league). Twins bullpen pitchers entered the contest with runners on base 117 times as well as having 174 contests in high leverage situations.

The Milwaukee Brewers finished with 4,280 putouts last season, in addition to 1,210 assists and 85 errors. Their fielding rate held steady at .987 which had them sitting 10th in pro baseball, and accumulated 98 double plays. The Twins converted 68.4% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 12,840 innings on the diamond, which had them sitting at 27th in pro baseball.

Ryan has taken the ball for 641 innings and has 719 strikeouts during his career. Ryan (46-36 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.73 while he has faced 2,603 batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.79 (270 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.064. He has conceded 534 base hits (7.5 hits per nine innings) and has had 148 walks.

The Baltimore Orioles accounted for an on-base percentage of .305 as well as a batting average of .235 for the previous season. They were called out on strikes on 1,457 occasions (4th in baseball) and accounted for 1,273 base hits. Baltimore was sitting with 191 home runs over the course of last year to go along with 643 RBIs. The Orioles had a team slugging % of .394 and they scored 4.18 runs per game (24th in the league). They recorded 251 doubles, while taking a walk 484 times and putting up 677 runs.

The Baltimore pitching staff relinquished 788 runs in the prior season while holding an ERA of 4.61 (733 earned runs conceded). They surrendered 217 dingers and they conceded 4.95 runs per 9 innings (25th in baseball). The Orioles held a team WHIP of 1.366 and had a FIP of 4.41 as a unit during the previous year. Their strikeout to walk ratio came in at 8.50 (1,351 strikeouts against 523 walks). They finished at 27th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,433.

Baltimore relievers had an inherited score percentage of 27.6% out of 214 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers took the field 168 times in high leverage situations and also on 154 occasions with runners on base. With 167 save situations, the Orioles compiled 105 holds in addition to 20 blown saves. They were ranked 8th in the league holding a save percentage of 65.5%, and they sent 543 relievers onto the diamond last season. Baltimore called on relievers to step onto the mound in 58 save chances and they came away with 38 saves.

The Baltimore Orioles had 121 double plays and had a fielding rate of .985 (19th in MLB). The Orioles racked up 1,403 assists, 88 errors and notched a total of 4,298 putouts last year. Out of their 12,894 innings on the field, the Orioles earned a defensive efficiency of 68.4% (28th in MLB).

Rogers (24-37 record in his career) has a 3.83 earned run average and has given up 8.3 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.67 and he has gone up against 2,221 hitters in his MLB career. He has allowed 221 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.302 and a FIP of 3.8. During his pro baseball career, Rogers has given up 481 base knocks while earning 521 punch outs in 519 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota (+172)

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