Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 3/28/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Saturday, March 28, 2026

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+172) Baltimore (-210)

Oriole Park at Camden Yards is the location where the Baltimore Orioles (75-87 last season) will play the Minnesota Twins (70-92 last year) on Saturday. The moneyline on this game has Minnesota at +172 while Baltimore is coming in at -210. The total has been set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Taj Bradley and Kyle Bradish.

The Twins hit 249 two-baggers as a unit and smacked 191 balls out of the park. Minnesota had a slugging % of .397 and were called out on strikes 1,372 times, while taking a walk on 495 occasions. As a team, the Minnesota Twins put up 4.2 runs per contest, which was 23rd in the league. They recorded 643 runs batted in in addition to 1,295 hits last year, while their team batting average came in at .238. They earned 678 runs scored while having a team OBP of .310.

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The Twins compiled a team ERA of 4.55 during the previous year (24th in baseball), and the staff rung up 1,372 hitters. Twins pitchers gave up 194 home runs and 773 runs in total (23rd in baseball). They walked 459 hitters and their FIP was 4.09 as a team over the course of last season. Minnesota gave up 1,411 base knocks (8.9 per 9 innings) and 721 earned runs. They accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.99 and their pitching staff had a team WHIP of 1.31.

The Twins bullpen recorded a save percentage of 52.8% and stepped onto the mound in 150 save situations. The relievers inherited 167 runners last year and 35.3% of those players ended up scoring. Twins relief pitchers entered the game with runners on 117 times as well as having 174 outings in high leverage situations. The Twins had dispatched 543 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the prior season. The relievers finished with 95 holds for the prior year (11th in baseball). They earned 28 saves over the course of last year and blew 25 of 53 chances to get a save.

The Milwaukee Brewers had a tally of 4,280 putouts for the previous season, as well as 1,210 assists and 85 errors. Their fielding percentage held at .987 which had them sitting 10th in professional baseball, and accumulated 98 double plays. The Twins converted 68.4% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,840 innings on the diamond, which had them sitting at 27th in the majors.

Bradley has thrown 384 innings and has totaled 410 strikeouts so far in his career. Bradley (19-27 career mark) has a FIP of 4.80 while he has faced 1,643 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.87 (208 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.303. He has given up 359 hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and has had 142 walks.

The Orioles had a SLG% of .394 and they tallied 4.18 runs per contest (24th in the league). They hit 251 doubles, while walking 484 times and earning 677 runs. Baltimore accumulated 191 HRs for the prior year to go along with 643 RBIs. They struck out on 1,457 occasions (4th in the league) and tallied 1,273 base hits. The Baltimore Orioles earned an OBP of .305 and a batting average of .235 over the course of the prior season.

The Orioles had a team WHIP of 1.366 in addition to having a FIP of 4.41 as a team for the prior year. Their strikeout to walk ratio came in at 8.50 (1,351 strikeouts against 523 bases on balls). They were sitting at 27th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,433. They surrendered 217 homers and they conceded 4.95 runs per 9 innings (25th in the league). The Baltimore pitching staff conceded 788 runs during the previous year while holding a team ERA of 4.61 (733 earned runs yielded).

Baltimore called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 58 save chances and they tallied 38 saves. They were sitting at 8th in the league holding a save rate of 65.5%, and they sent 543 relievers onto the field last year. Their relievers came in 168 times in high leverage situations and on 154 occasions with runners on base. Baltimore relief pitchers had an inherited score percentage of 27.6% of 214 inherited runners. Finishing with 167 save situations, the Orioles earned 105 holds and 20 blown saves.

The Baltimore Orioles had 121 double plays and owned a fielding percentage of .985 (19th in the majors). The Orioles recorded 1,403 assists, 88 errors and earned a total of 4,298 putouts for the prior year. In 12,894 innings on the field, the Orioles earned a defensive efficiency of 68.4% (28th in MLB).

Thus far in his career, Bradish has conceded 301 hits while he has earned 379 punch outs in 357 innings pitched. He has conceded a total of 138 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.165 and having a FIP of 3.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.30 and he has faced 1,469 batters during his MLB career. Bradish (19-15 mark in his career) has a 3.48 earned run average while giving up 7.6 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Baltimore (-210) and under 8.5 runs

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