Minnesota Twins vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 7/17/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Friday, July 17, 2026

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+110) Chicago (-130)

Wrigley Field is the location where the Chicago Cubs (54-42) will try to beat the Minnesota Twins (48-49) on Friday. The line on this contest has Minnesota at +110 while Chicago is opening at -130. The over/under is set at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start are Taj Bradley and Colin Rea.

As a unit, the Minnesota Twins are notching 4.9 runs/g, which ranks them 6th in the league. They have tallied 471 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .323. The Twins have compiled 162 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 120 baseballs out of the stadium. They have recorded 449 runs batted in in addition to 810 base knocks on the year, and their average at the plate is .248. Minnesota has a slugging rate of .415 and have struck out 796 times, while taking a walk on 323 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.30 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.37. Twins pitchers have surrendered 115 long balls and 485 runs in total (25th in baseball). Minnesota has conceded 827 hits (8.7 per 9 innings) in addition to 440 earned runs. The Twins hold a team earned run average of 4.62 on the year (24th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 804 batters. They have walked 349 batters and their FIP is 4.36 as a team this season.

The Twins have dispatched 316 relief pitchers to the mound on the year. The relievers have inherited 152 runners over the course of the season and 34.9% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The relief pitchers have earned 61 holds so far this year (6th in baseball). Twins pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 100 times in addition to having 103 appearances in high leverage situations. They have earned 27 saves this season and have blown 12 of their 39 chances to get a save. The Twins relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 69.2% and have entered the game in 102 save situations.

The Twins have turned 69.2% of baseballs in play into outs out of 7,707 innings, which ranks them 24th in professional baseball. The Minnesota Twins have accumulated 2,569 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 718 assists and 51 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .985 which ranks 19th in pro baseball, and they have turned 66 double plays.

Bradley has taken the ball for 487 innings and has earned 528 punch outs during his MLB career. His ERA is 4.60 (249 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.285. He has conceded 444 base knocks (8.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 182 free passes. Bradley (28-30 career mark) has earned a FIP of 4.53 while going up against 2,074 hitters in the major leagues.

The Chicago Cubs have compiled an on-base percentage of .336 as well as a team batting average of .244 on the season. They have been called out on strikes on 808 occasions (13th in MLB) and have earned a total of 798 base knocks. Chicago is sitting with 121 HRs so far this year as well as 452 RBIs. The Cubs hold a team SLG% of .411 and they average 5.04 runs per contest (5th in the league). They have recorded 154 doubles, while taking a walk 417 times and putting up 484 runs.

The Chicago pitching staff have given up 432 runs so far this year and come in with a team ERA of 4.34 (411 earned runs relinquished). They have surrendered 148 homers and they give up 4.56 runs per 9 innings (17th in baseball). The Cubs have a team WHIP of 1.278 and have a FIP of 4.78 as a squad so far this year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 7.90 (748 strikeouts vs 296 bases on balls). They rank 19th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 794.

Chicago bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 32.2% out of 143 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 94 times in high leverage situations and also on 98 occasions with base runners. With 79 save situations, the Cubs have 36 holds and also 17 blown saves. They rank 26th in the league holding a save percentage of 54.1%, and they have sent 315 relief pitchers onto the field this year.

Out of their 7,680 innings played, the Cubs have a efficiency on defense of 71.7% (4th in baseball). The Chicago Cubs have gotten 72 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .989 (4th in pro baseball). The Cubs have 884 assists, 37 errors and have a tally of 2,560 putouts so far this year.

So far in his MLB career, Rea has surrendered 688 base knocks while totaling 563 K's in 700 frames. Rea (44-32 career win-loss record) has earned a 4.46 ERA and has conceded 8.8 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered a total of 347 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.294 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.4. His K/BB ratio is 2.58 and he has gone up against 2,983 hitters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Minnesota (+110)

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