Minnesota Twins vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 7/18/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Saturday, July 18, 2026

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+110) Chicago (-130)

The Chicago Cubs (54-42) will take on the Minnesota Twins (48-49) at Wrigley Field on Saturday. The moneyline on this contest has the Twins at +110 and the Cubs are coming in at -130. The total comes in at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Taj Bradley and Matthew Boyd.

Minnesota is slugging .415 and have been rung up 796 times, while drawing a walk on 323 occasions. They have earned 449 runs batted in and 811 base knocks over the course of the season, and their average at the plate is .248. The Twins have accrued 162 doubles as a team and have hit 120 balls out of the park. They have notched a total of 471 runs scored and hold an OBP of .323. As a squad, the Minnesota Twins are knocking in 4.9 runs per game, which is 6th in baseball.

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The Twins have an ERA of 4.62 for the season (24th in the league), and the staff has rung up 804 hitters. Twins pitchers have allowed 115 home runs and also 485 runs (25th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 349 hitters and their FIP is 4.36 as a squad so far this year. Minnesota has allowed 827 base knocks (8.7 per 9 innings) and 440 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.30 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.37.

The Twins relievers have accumulated a save rate of 69.2% and have entered the game in 102 save situations. They have recorded 27 saves on the campaign and have missed out on 12 out of their 39 save chances. The relievers have inherited 152 base runners on the season with 34.9% of them ended up scoring. Twins relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 100 times as well as having 103 appearances in high leverage situations. The Twins have dispatched 316 relievers to the hill this season. The relief pitchers have notched 61 holds on the season (6th in baseball).

The Twins have converted 69.2% of balls in play into outs out of 7,707 innings, which has them sitting 24th in professional baseball. The Minnesota Twins have accounted for 2,569 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 718 assists and 51 errors. Their fielding rate is at .985 which has them ranked 19th in baseball, and they have turned 66 double plays.

Bradley (28-30 career mark) has earned a FIP of 4.53 while he has gone up against 2,074 hitters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 444 base knocks (8.2 hits per nine innings) and has 182 free passes. His earned run average is 4.60 (249 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.285. Bradley has thrown 487 innings and has totaled 528 K's so far in his career.

The Cubs have a team slugging percentage of .411 and they average 5.04 runs per contest (5th in the league). They have recorded 154 two-baggers, while walking 417 times as well as notching 484 runs. Chicago has recorded 121 home runs so far this season as well as 452 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 808 occasions (13th in baseball) and have earned 798 base hits. The Chicago Cubs have an OBP of .336 as well as a batting average of .244 for the year.

The Cubs have a team WHIP of 1.278 and have a FIP of 4.78 as a team this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 7.90 (748 strikeouts against 296 bases on balls). They sit at 19th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 794. They have given up 148 home runs and they concede 4.56 runs per 9 innings (17th in MLB). The Chicago pitching staff have yielded 432 runs so far this year while holding a team ERA of 4.34 (411 earned runs surrendered).

They are ranked 26th in the league with a save rate of 54.1%, and they have dispatched 315 relievers onto the field on the year. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 94 times in high leverage situations and also on 98 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 79 save situations, the Cubs have earned 36 holds in addition to 17 blown saves. Chicago has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 37 save chances and they have walked away with 20 saves. Chicago relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 32.2% out of their 143 inherited runners.

The Chicago Cubs have gotten 72 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .989 (4th in professional baseball). The Cubs have recorded 884 assists, 37 errors and have amassed 2,560 putouts for the season. In 7,680 innings on the field, the Cubs have a defensive efficiency of 71.7% (4th in MLB).

Thus far in his career, Boyd has surrendered 1,099 hits and he has 1,092 K's in 1,134 frames. He has surrendered 576 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.277 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.13 and he has gone up against 4,810 hitters so far in his MLB career. Boyd (65-78 career record) has earned a 4.57 ERA while giving up 8.7 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Minnesota (+110)

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