Minnesota Twins vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 7/19/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Sunday, July 19, 2026

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+132) Chicago (-160)

Wrigley Field is the location where the Chicago Cubs (54-42) will try to beat the Minnesota Twins (48-49) on Sunday. The odds on this game have Minnesota at +132 while Chicago is sitting at -160. The betting total is set at 8. The pitchers taking the mound will be Zebby Matthews and Shota Imanaga.

The Twins have compiled 162 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 120 balls out of the park. Minnesota is slugging .415 and have struck out 796 times, while taking a walk on 323 occasions. As a squad, the Minnesota Twins are compiling 4.9 runs per game, which has them sitting at 6th in baseball. They have tallied 449 runs batted in as well as 811 hits this year, and their team batting average is sitting at .248. They have tallied 471 runs scored and hold an OBP of .323.

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The Twins have a team earned run average of 4.62 this year (24th in the league), and their staff has rung up 804 hitters. Twins pitchers have yielded 115 long balls in addition to 485 total runs (25th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 349 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.36 as a unit for the season. Minnesota has conceded 827 hits (8.7 per 9 innings) and 440 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.30 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.37.

The Twins bullpen have accumulated a save rate of 69.2% and have entered the game in 102 save situations. They have earned 27 saves for the season and have blown 12 of 39 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 152 runners on the year and 34.9% of them crossing the plate. Twins bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 100 times and also have had 103 appearances in high leverage situations. The Twins have dispatched 316 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year. The relief pitchers have racked up 61 holds on the year (6th in baseball).

The Minnesota Twins have amassed 2,569 putouts thus far, as well as 718 assists and 51 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .985 which has them sitting 19th in baseball, and they have turned 66 double plays. The Twins have turned 69.2% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 7,707 innings, which ranks them 24th in the majors.

Matthews has taken the mound for 184 innings and has totaled 185 punch outs thus far in his career. His earned run average is 5.43 (111 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.424. He has surrendered 209 base knocks (10.2 hits per nine innings) with 53 walks. Matthews (10-16 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 5.35 while going up against 806 batters during his time in the major leagues.

The Cubs hold a slugging % of .411 and they are earning 5.04 runs per contest (5th in the league). They have tallied 154 two-baggers, while taking a walk 417 times as well as scoring 484 runs. Chicago has hit 121 long balls for the year as well as 452 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 808 instances (13th in the league) and have earned a total of 798 base hits. The Chicago Cubs are sitting with a team OBP of .336 and a batting average of .244 for the season.

The Cubs have a team WHIP of 1.278 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.78 as a squad on the campaign. Their K/BB ratio sits at 7.90 (748 strikeouts against 296 bases on balls). They are sitting at 19th in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 794. They have yielded 148 dingers and they yield 4.56 runs per 9 innings (17th in the league). The Chicago pitching staff have conceded 432 runs on the season while having an ERA of 4.34 (411 earned runs allowed).

They are ranked 26th in baseball with a save percentage of 54.1%, and they have dispatched 315 bullpen pitchers onto the field so far this season. Their relievers have taken the field 94 times in high leverage situations in addition to 98 occasions with runners on. With 79 save situations, the Cubs have 36 holds and also 17 blown saves. Chicago has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 37 save chances and they have tallied 20 saves. Chicago bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 32.2% out of their 143 inherited base runners.

The Chicago Cubs have turned 72 double plays and have a fielding rate of .989 (4th in MLB). The Cubs have 884 assists, 37 errors and have amassed 2,560 putouts this year. In their 7,680 innings on the diamond, the Cubs hold a defensive efficiency of 71.7% (4th in the majors).

During his pro baseball career, Imanaga has allowed 360 hits and he has 396 strikeouts in 426 innings pitched. Imanaga (29-19 record in his career) has a 3.51 ERA while allowing 7.6 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 166 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.035 and having a FIP of 3.5. His K/BB ratio is 4.89 and he has faced 1,699 opposing batters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Minnesota (+132)

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