Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 7/23/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Thursday, July 23, 2026

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+125) Cleveland (-145)

Progressive Field is where the Cleveland Guardians (54-48) will compete against the Minnesota Twins (49-53) on Thursday. The moneyline on this contest has Minnesota at +125 and Cleveland is at -145. The betting total comes in at 9. The men taking the mound are Taj Bradley and Gavin Williams.

As a unit, the Minnesota Twins are putting up 4.8 runs per outing, which has them at 8th in the league. They have accumulated 483 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .322. The Twins have tallied 166 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 123 baseballs out of the stadium. They have recorded 461 RBI's and 844 base knocks this year, while their batting average comes in at .248. Minnesota has a slugging % of .413 and have struck out 826 times, while drawing a walk on 333 occasions.

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The Twins hold a team earned run average of 4.75 this season (26th in the league), and their staff has struck out 840 hitters. Twins pitchers have allowed 124 long balls in addition to 516 total runs (26th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 365 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.42 as a squad over the course of the season. Minnesota has yielded 875 base hits (8.9 per 9 innings) and 469 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.30 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.39.

Twins pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 102 times as well as having 103 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have a total of 64 holds so far this year (5th in baseball). The Twins relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 70.0% and stepped onto the hill in 106 save situations. They have compiled 28 saves on the season and have missed out on 12 of 40 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 155 runners for the year with 35.5% of those runners crossing the plate. The Twins have sent 329 relievers to the mound on the season.

The Minnesota Twins have a total of 2,668 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 745 assists and 53 errors. Their fielding rate is at .985 which ranks 19th in professional baseball, and they have turned 69 double plays. The Twins have transformed 68.8% of balls hit into play into outs in their 8,004 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 26th in MLB.

Bradley (28-31 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 4.57 while he has gone up against 2,099 opposing batters in the majors. He has given up 451 hits (8.2 hits per nine innings) with 185 walks. His ERA is 4.64 (254 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.292. Bradley has taken the hill for 492 innings and has accumulated 534 strikeouts during his MLB career.

Cleveland has hit 101 home runs so far this year and 387 runs batted in. They have hit 155 doubles, while taking a walk 362 times as well as earning 405 runs. The Cleveland Guardians have accumulated an OBP of .312 and a batting average of .233 so far this year. The Guardians have a team slugging % of .377 and they average 4.01 runs per contest (29th in the league). They have struck out on 851 instances (12th in MLB) and have accounted for 775 base knocks.

The Guardians are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.268 and have a FIP of 3.93 as a pitching staff for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.20 (918 strikeouts vs 334 free passes). They come in at 12th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 800. They have given up 114 homers and they allow 4.11 runs per 9 innings (8th in MLB). The Cleveland pitching staff have allowed 408 runs for the season while having a team ERA of 3.76 (374 earned runs surrendered).

Sitting with 125 save situations, the Guardians have earned 83 holds in addition to 9 blown saves. Cleveland has had relief pitchers enter the game in 41 save chances and they have converted 32 saves. Cleveland relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 24.7% out of 146 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 124 times in high leverage situations and on 95 occasions with base runners. They rank 2nd in the league holding a save rate of 78.0%, and they have sent 340 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond this year.

In 8,052 innings played, the Guardians have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (18th in baseball). The Cleveland Guardians have turned 69 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .986 (15th in MLB). The Guardians have accrued 799 assists, 49 errors and have a tally of 2,684 putouts during this campaign.

In his pro baseball career, Williams has given up 368 base knocks while he has totaled 478 strikeouts in 444 frames. He has given up 181 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.254 and having a FIP of 3.6. His K/BB ratio is 2.53 and he has faced 1,866 hitters during his career. Williams (28-25 win-loss record in his career) has a 3.67 earned run average while surrendering 7.5 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cleveland (-145)

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