Minnesota Twins vs Houston Astros Prediction, 6/29/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Houston Astros

Date: Monday, June 29, 2026

Location: Daikin Park in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+120) Houston (-144)

The Houston Astros (41-44) host the Minnesota Twins (39-45) at Daikin Park on Monday. The moneyline on this contest has Minnesota at +120 while Houston is coming in at -144. The total is 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Zebby Matthews and Peter Lambert.

Minnesota has a slugging % of .411 and have been called out on strikes 689 times, while being walked on 278 occasions. They have earned 388 runs batted in as well as 703 hits so far this year, and their team batting average is sitting at .247. The Twins have earned 135 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 102 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accumulated 409 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .322. As a squad, the Minnesota Twins are putting up 4.9 runs per contest, which ranks them 7th in MLB.

Get all of our MLB Expert Picks

The Twins hold a team ERA of 4.89 on the season (28th in the league), and their staff has struck out 678 hitters. Twins pitchers have allowed 98 long balls in addition to 440 runs in total (28th in the league). They have walked 308 hitters and their FIP sits at 4.42 as a team on the campaign. Minnesota has given up 737 base hits (9.0 per 9 innings) in addition to 403 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.20 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.41.

Twins relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 93 times as well as having 90 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have accumulated 55 holds on the campaign (5th in the league). The Twins bullpen have a save percentage of 66.7% and have come into the game in 89 save situations. They have recorded 22 saves so far this year and have missed out on 11 of their 33 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 140 runners this season and 35.7% of those runners earned a run for their team. The Twins have dispatched 280 relievers to the mound for the season.

The Minnesota Twins have earned 2,224 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 623 assists and 47 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .984 which has them sitting 20th in pro baseball, and they have turned 57 double plays. The Twins have turned 68.6% of balls hit into play into outs in their 6,672 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 28th in the majors.

Matthews has taken the ball for 166 frames and has earned 170 punch outs during his career. His earned run average is 5.53 (102 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.439. He has given up 193 hits (10.5 hits per nine innings) and has had 46 walks. Matthews (9-15 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 5.44 and he has gone up against 735 batters in the majors.

The Houston Astros have a team OBP of .316 in addition to a team batting average of .243 for the season. They have been called out on strikes on 691 occasions (15th in baseball) and have 694 hits. Houston has a total of 109 HRs so far this year to go along with 363 runs batted in. The Astros hold a slugging percentage of .409 and they score 4.47 runs per contest (16th in baseball). They have hit 137 two-baggers, while walking 282 times as well as racking up 380 runs.

The Astros hold a team WHIP of 1.395 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.76 as a team this year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.80 (732 strikeouts against 367 walks). They come in at 20th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 681. They have conceded 111 homers and they relinquish 5.08 runs per 9 innings (24th in the league). The Houston pitching staff have relinquished 424 runs so far this year while having a team ERA of 4.77 (398 earned runs relinquished).

Sitting with 66 save situations, the Astros have accumulated 36 holds and 5 blown saves. Houston has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 30 save opportunities and they have recorded 25 saves. Houston bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 28.7% of 122 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 78 times in high leverage situations and on 80 occasions with runners on. They rank 1st in the league with a save percentage of 83.3%, and they have dispatched 262 bullpen pitchers onto the field this year.

Out of their 6,762 innings on the diamond, the Astros have a defensive efficiency of 70.5% (10th in pro baseball). The Houston Astros have turned 75 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .989 (7th in the majors). The Astros have racked up 634 assists, 33 errors and have accumulated 2,254 putouts for the season.

Thus far in his career, Lambert has surrendered 349 base knocks while he has totaled 245 strikeouts in 311 frames. Lambert (14-23 career mark) has earned a 5.64 earned run average while surrendering 10.1 hits per 9 innings. He has given up 195 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.516 and having a FIP of 5.6. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.99 and he has gone up against 1,390 batters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Minnesota (+120)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get MLB picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.