Minnesota Twins vs New York Mets Prediction, 4/21/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs New York Mets

Date: Tuesday, April 21, 2026

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (-132) New York (+110)

The New York Mets (7-15) are welcoming the Minnesota Twins (11-11) at Citi Field on Tuesday. The moneyline on this game has the Twins at -132 while the Mets are at +110. The total is 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Mick Abel and Nolan McLean.

As a team, the Minnesota Twins are notching 5.1 runs per game, which puts them at 7th in the league. They have accumulated 112 runs and have an on-base percentage of .332. The Twins have tallied 27 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 26 balls out of the stadium. They have 107 runs batted in and 166 hits for the year, while their batting average is sitting at .230. Minnesota owns a slugging percentage of .381 and have struck out 193 times, while taking a walk on 98 occasions.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.35 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.37. Twins pitchers have surrendered 13 long balls in addition to 100 total runs (18th in MLB). Minnesota has relinquished 189 base hits (8.7 per 9 innings) as well as 88 earned runs. The Twins have an ERA of 4.06 for the season (17th in the league), and the staff has rung up 183 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 78 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.58 as a team so far this year.

The Twins relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 62.5% and stepped onto the hill in 25 save situations. They have compiled 5 saves for the season and have blown 3 of their 8 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 30 base runners over the course of the season and 23.3% of them ended up crossing the plate. Twins relief pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 21 times in addition to having 18 appearances in high leverage situations. The Twins have sent 73 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year. The bullpen have accumulated 17 holds so far this season (7th in the league).

The Twins have turned 67.1% of balls in play into outs in their 1,755 innings, which has them sitting at 28th in professional baseball. The Milwaukee Brewers have amassed 585 putouts thus far, as well as 161 assists and 14 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .982 which puts them in 25th in pro baseball, and have a total of 18 double plays.

Abel has thrown 59 innings and has 62 K's in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 5.48 (36 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.540. He has surrendered 65 base hits (9.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 26 free passes. Abel (4-6 career mark) has earned a FIP of 5.40 while he has faced 267 hitters during his time in the majors.

The New York Mets have an on-base percentage of .288 and a batting average of .226 on the year. They have been called out on strikes on 178 occasions (20th in MLB) and have accounted for 169 base hits. New York is sitting with 16 long balls on the season and 68 RBIs. The Mets have a team slugging percentage of .336 and they score 3.27 runs per game (29th in MLB). They have hit 29 two-baggers, while walking 64 times as well as recording 72 runs.

The New York pitching staff have yielded 97 runs for the year while holding an ERA of 4.06 (89 earned runs yielded). They have yielded 21 homers and they yield 4.43 runs per 9 innings (13th in MLB). The Mets are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.284 in addition to having a FIP of 3.82 as a team this season. Their K/BB ratio is 8.70 (190 strikeouts against 75 bases on balls). They sit at 20th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 178.

Sitting with 12 save situations, the Mets have earned 7 holds and also 3 blown saves. New York has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 5 save chances and they have earned 2 saves. New York relievers have an inherited score percentage of 52.4% of 21 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 27 times in high leverage situations in addition to 20 occasions with runners on base. They sit at 29th in baseball with a save rate of 40.0%, and they have sent 64 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season.

In 1,776 innings on the field, the Mets have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.0% (18th in baseball). The New York Mets have turned 14 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (13th in MLB). The Mets have accrued 202 assists, 11 errors and have a total of 592 putouts over the course of the season.

McLean (6-2 career record) has earned a 2.15 earned run average while giving up 5.6 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.54 and he has gone up against 277 batters during his career. He has given up 17 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 0.955 and being the owner of a FIP of 2.1. So far in his pro baseball career, McLean has given up 44 hits while he has tallied 85 punch outs in 71 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Minnesota (-132)

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