Minnesota Twins vs New York Mets Prediction, 4/23/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs New York Mets

Date: Thursday, April 23, 2026

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+110) New York (-132)

Citi Field is the site where the New York Mets (7-16) will compete against the Minnesota Twins (12-11) on Thursday. The line on this matchup has the Twins at +110 while the Mets are priced at -132. The over/under comes in at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Joe Ryan and Christian Scott.

The Twins have compiled 28 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 27 baseballs out of the park. Minnesota has a slugging % of .378 and have been called out on strikes 208 times, while being walked on 101 occasions. As a unit, the Minnesota Twins are scoring 5.1 runs per outing, which ranks them 7th in the league. They have 112 RBI's and 172 hits so far this season, while their average at the plate is at .228. They have racked up 117 runs and have an OBP of .329.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.36 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.34. Twins pitchers have allowed 14 long balls and also 103 total runs (14th in MLB). Minnesota has conceded 193 base hits (8.5 per 9 innings) and also 91 earned runs. The Twins are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.01 so far this year (13th in the league), and the staff has rung up 191 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 81 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 3.60 as a squad on the year.

The Twins have dispatched 76 relievers to the hill on the year. The relievers have inherited 30 base runners this year with 23.3% of those players crossing home plate. The relief pitchers have 17 holds on the campaign (8th in the league). Twins bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 21 times in addition to having 21 appearances in high leverage situations. They have recorded 5 saves this year and have blown 3 out of their 8 save opportunities. The Twins bullpen have recorded a save rate of 62.5% and have entered the game in 25 save situations.

The Milwaukee Brewers have a total of 612 putouts on the year, in addition to 165 assists and 14 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .982 which puts them in 25th in MLB, and they have turned 18 double plays. The Twins have converted 67.8% of balls in play into outs in their 1,836 innings on the field, which ranks them 27th in the majors.

Ryan has taken the ball for 668 frames and has tallied 747 strikeouts during his career. His ERA is 3.77 (280 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.057. He has given up 552 hits (7.4 hits per nine innings) with 154 walks. Ryan (48-38 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 3.71 while he has faced 2,710 hitters during his time in the majors.

The Mets have a team SLG% of .332 and they tally 3.26 runs per game (30th in the league). They have notched 29 two-baggers, while getting a free base 67 times as well as putting up 75 runs. New York has tallied 17 home runs this year as well as 71 RBIs. They have struck out on 186 occasions (23rd in baseball) and have a total of 173 hits. The New York Mets have recorded an OBP of .285 as well as a batting average of .222 over the course of the season.

The Mets are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.271 with a FIP of 3.76 as a staff over the course of the season. They are sitting at 16th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 184. The New York pitching staff have given up 102 runs over the course of the season while holding an ERA of 4.10 (94 earned runs yielded). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.90 (205 strikeouts vs 78 bases on balls). They have conceded 22 HR's and they allow 4.45 runs per 9 innings (13th in baseball).

New York relievers have an inherited score percentage of 44.0% of 25 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 29 times in high leverage situations and also on 22 occasions with runners on. With 12 save situations, the Mets have amassed 7 holds in addition to 3 blown saves. They rank 28th in the league with a save percentage of 40.0%, and they have dispatched 67 relievers to the mound so far this year.

The New York Mets have gotten 14 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .987 (12th in MLB). The Mets have accrued 204 assists, 11 errors and have accumulated 619 putouts during this campaign. Out of their 1,857 innings on the diamond, the Mets have a defensive efficiency of 70.0% (18th in the majors).

In his MLB career, Scott has conceded 45 base knocks and he has 39 strikeouts in 47 innings. Scott (0-3 career win-loss record) holds a 4.59 earned run average while allowing 8.6 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 24 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.210 and having a FIP of 4.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.25 and he has gone up against 197 batters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-132)

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