Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees Prediction, 7/3/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees

Date: Friday, July 3, 2026

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+125) New York (-150)

The New York Yankees (48-37) will go up against the Minnesota Twins (41-46) at Yankee Stadium on Friday. The moneyline on this game has the Twins at +125 while the Yankees are sitting at -150. The betting total is set at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Mike Paredes and Gerrit Cole.

As a team, the Minnesota Twins are notching 4.8 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 8th in the league. They have notched a total of 421 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .321. The Twins have accounted for 138 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 107 baseballs out of the park. They have amassed 399 runs batted in and 725 hits so far this year, and their average at the plate comes in at .247. Minnesota is slugging .411 and have struck out 707 times, while drawing a walk on 284 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.25 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.40. Twins pitchers have surrendered 102 long balls in addition to 452 runs (28th in baseball). Minnesota has given up 758 base hits (8.9 per 9 innings) as well as 415 earned runs. The Twins have a team ERA of 4.87 so far this year (27th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 709 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 315 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.40 as a squad this year.

The Twins have sent 287 relievers to the mound this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 141 runners this season and 35.5% of those players ended up scoring. The relievers have a total of 56 holds so far this season (5th in MLB). Twins relief pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 94 times and also have had 93 appearances in high leverage situations. They have tallied 24 saves this year and have not converted 11 of 35 chances to get a save. The Twins bullpen have earned a save rate of 68.6% and have stepped onto the mound in 92 save situations.

The Twins have turned 68.8% of balls in play into outs in their 6,906 innings, ranking them 26th in MLB. The Minnesota Twins have 2,302 putouts on the year, as well as 646 assists and 47 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .984 which has them ranked 19th in baseball, and have a total of 59 double plays.

Paredes has taken the ball for 25 frames and has accumulated 13 punch outs in his pro baseball career. Paredes (0-1 mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.24 and he has faced 110 opposing batters in the majors. His ERA is 4.30 (12 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.275. He has allowed 23 hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) and has had 9 free passes.

The New York Yankees have recorded an OBP of .320 in addition to a batting average of .237 on the year. They have been called out on strikes on 754 occasions (7th in baseball) and have accounted for 666 base knocks. New York has knocked in 123 home runs over the course of the season as well as 396 RBIs. The Yankees hold a team slugging percentage of .423 and they earn 4.88 runs per outing (6th in MLB). They have recorded 129 two-baggers, while taking a walk 338 times as well as recording 415 runs.

The New York pitching staff have surrendered 324 runs on the year while holding a team ERA of 3.36 (281 earned runs yielded). They have relinquished 79 home runs and they allow 3.88 runs per 9 innings (4th in baseball). The Yankees hold a team WHIP of 1.194 and have a FIP of 3.67 as a unit this year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.80 (735 strikeouts vs 257 walks). They are sitting at 4th in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 641.

They are currently ranked 19th in MLB with a save rate of 60.6%, and they have dispatched 277 bullpen pitchers onto the field so far this year. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 95 times in high leverage situations in addition to 96 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 74 save situations, the Yankees have accumulated 40 holds in addition to 13 blown saves. New York has called on relief pitchers to enter the contest in 33 save chances and they have walked away with 20 saves. New York bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 26.0% out of their 146 inherited base runners.

The New York Yankees have turned 58 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (20th in baseball). The Yankees have recorded 750 assists, 48 errors and have a total of 2,258 putouts so far this year. In their 6,774 innings played, the Yankees have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.9% (8th in the majors).

In his career, Cole has given up 1,663 base knocks while he has accumulated 2,285 strikeouts in 1,991 frames. He has surrendered a total of 707 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.091 and a FIP of 3.1. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.48 and he has gone up against 8,021 opposing hitters in his career. Cole (155-83 career mark) is the owner of a 3.20 earned run average while allowing 7.5 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Minnesota (+125)

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