Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees Prediction, 7/5/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees

Date: Sunday, July 5, 2026

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+132) New York (-160)

The Minnesota Twins (42-46) are headed to Yankee Stadium on Sunday where they will try to defeat the New York Yankees (48-38). The moneyline on this matchup has the Twins at +132 while the Yankees are coming in at -160. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Joe Ryan and Ryan Weathers.

As a team, the Minnesota Twins are notching 4.9 runs per game, which puts them at 6th in the league. They have a total of 429 runs scored and have an OBP of .321. The Twins have accrued 139 doubles as a squad and have smacked 110 balls out of the park. They have tallied 407 RBI's and 733 base knocks for the year, while their batting average is at .246. Minnesota has a slugging % of .412 and have struck out 719 times, while drawing a walk on 290 occasions.

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The Twins have an ERA of 4.82 on the campaign (27th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 722 batters. Twins pitchers have given up 102 home runs and 455 total runs (28th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 319 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.38 as a team for the season. Minnesota has conceded 766 base hits (8.9 per 9 innings) in addition to 416 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.26 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.40.

Twins relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 95 times in addition to having 93 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have recorded 57 holds this year (5th in baseball). The Twins relief pitchers have a save percentage of 68.6% and have come into the game in 93 save situations. They have compiled 24 saves on the campaign and have blown 11 of 35 chances to save the game. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 143 runners on the campaign with 35.0% of them ended up scoring. The Twins have sent 291 relief pitchers to the hill for the year.

The Minnesota Twins have earned 2,329 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 654 assists and 49 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .984 which puts them in 20th in professional baseball, and have a total of 61 double plays. The Twins have transformed 68.6% of baseballs in play into outs in their 6,987 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 28th in baseball.

Ryan has thrown 738 innings and has accounted for 832 K's in his career. Ryan (51-41 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.71 while he has gone up against 3,003 batters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.77 (309 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.066. He has conceded 617 base knocks (7.5 hits per 9 innings) and has had 170 walks.

The Yankees have a team slugging percentage of .421 and they score 4.85 runs per contest (7th in MLB). They have put up 130 two-baggers, while walking 340 times and putting up 417 runs. New York is sitting with 124 home runs this season as well as 397 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 766 occasions (8th in the league) and are sitting with 673 base hits. The New York Yankees hold a team OBP of .319 in addition to a team batting average of .236 for the year.

The Yankees have a WHIP of 1.190 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.68 as a pitching staff for the year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.80 (745 strikeouts against 261 free passes). They are currently ranked 4th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 647. They have surrendered 80 homers and they concede 3.89 runs per 9 innings (4th in the league). The New York pitching staff have allowed 330 runs for the year and come in with a team ERA of 3.36 (285 earned runs relinquished).

New York relievers have an inherited score percentage of 25.9% out of their 147 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 96 times in high leverage situations and on 98 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 74 save situations, the Yankees have tallied 40 holds in addition to 13 blown saves. They sit at 20th in baseball with a save percentage of 60.6%, and they have sent 281 relievers onto the field so far this year.

The New York Yankees have turned 58 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .984 (19th in professional baseball). The Yankees have accrued 759 assists, 50 errors and have accumulated 2,291 putouts over the course of the season. Out of their 6,873 innings played, the Yankees are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 71.0% (6th in MLB).

Weathers (15-29 win-loss record in his career) has a 4.73 ERA while allowing 9.1 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.69 and he has gone up against 1,579 opposing batters in his pro baseball career. He has allowed 194 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.344 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.7. So far in his career, Weathers has surrendered 372 base hits while accumulating 333 K's in 369 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take New York (-160) and under 8.5 runs

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