Minnesota Twins vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 8/23/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs San Diego Padres

Date: Sunday, August 23, 2026

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Padres.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+102) San Diego (-122)

The San Diego Padres (68-60) will try to defeat the Minnesota Twins (63-65) at Petco Park on Sunday. The odds on this game have Minnesota at +102 and San Diego is sitting at -122. The over/under is 8. The pitchers taking the mound will be Bailey Ober and Walker Buehler.

The Twins have compiled 210 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 147 balls out of the park. Minnesota has a slugging rate of .406 and have been called out on strikes 1,035 times, while taking a walk on 420 occasions. As a unit, the Minnesota Twins are notching 4.6 runs per game, which ranks them 9th in the league. They have earned 564 RBI's as well as 1,062 hits this year, while their batting average comes in at .246. They have earned 592 runs and have an on-base percentage of .321.

Get all of our MLB Betting Picks

Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.27 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.38. Twins pitchers have conceded 147 long balls and 633 runs (26th in baseball). Minnesota has yielded 1,091 hits (8.7 per 9 innings) in addition to 580 earned runs. The Twins have compiled a team ERA of 4.62 so far this season (25th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 1,058 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 466 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.29 as a squad so far this year.

The Twins relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 72.5% and have come into the game in 141 save situations. They have earned 37 saves on the season and have blown 14 of their 51 save chances. The relievers have inherited 177 runners on the season with 36.2% of those runners crossing home plate. Twins relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 122 times as well as having 140 appearances in high leverage situations. The Twins have sent 427 relievers to the hill this season. The bullpen have a total of 86 holds so far this year (4th in baseball).

The Minnesota Twins have accounted for 3,392 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 974 assists and 59 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .987 which has them sitting 12th in MLB, and they have turned 86 double plays. The Twins have converted 69.3% of baseballs in play into outs out of 10,176 innings on the field, which ranks them 24th in pro baseball.

Ober has taken the ball for 720 innings and has earned 675 punch outs during his career. His earned run average is 4.16 (333 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.141. He has surrendered 663 base hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) with 159 free passes. Ober (38-34 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 4.10 while facing 2,951 batters in the majors.

The San Diego Padres have recorded an on-base percentage of .315 in addition to a team batting average of .238 this season. They have been called out on strikes on 1,038 occasions (21st in the league) and have earned 1,001 base knocks. San Diego has 143 HRs on the season to go along with 524 runs batted in. The Padres hold a slugging % of .389 and they earn 4.24 runs per contest (21st in the league). They have tallied 186 doubles, while taking a walk 439 times and notching 543 runs.

The Padres hold a team WHIP of 1.307 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.17 as a unit so far this year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.30 (1,036 strikeouts vs 442 walks). They have a ranking of 15th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 1,035. They have allowed 140 homers and they surrender 4.30 runs per 9 innings (9th in the league). The San Diego pitching staff have conceded 540 runs on the year while holding a team ERA of 4.05 (508 earned runs conceded).

Sitting with 135 save situations, the Padres have accumulated 79 holds and 15 blown saves. San Diego has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 53 save chances and they have come away with 38 saves. San Diego relievers have an inherited score percentage of 31.7% out of 205 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 140 times in high leverage situations and on 121 occasions with runners on. They are ranked 7th in baseball with a save percentage of 71.7%, and they have sent 428 bullpen pitchers to the mound for the year.

In 10,170 innings played, the Padres are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (12th in professional baseball). The San Diego Padres have gotten 103 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .988 (5th in pro baseball). The Padres have accrued 1,124 assists, 55 errors and have a tally of 3,390 putouts on the campaign.

So far in his career, Buehler has conceded 836 hits while he has accumulated 950 punch outs in 959 innings pitched. Buehler (64-35 career record) has a 3.68 earned run average while giving up 7.8 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 392 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.184 and having a FIP of 3.6. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.17 and he has gone up against 3,985 opposing batters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Minnesota (+102)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get MLB picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.