Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, 7/31/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Friday, July 31, 2026

Location: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+110) Seattle (-132)

The Minnesota Twins (54-55) are traveling to T-Mobile Park on Friday where they will meet the Seattle Mariners (53-56). The odds on this game have Minnesota at +110 and Seattle is priced at -132. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The pitchers expected to start will be Zebby Matthews and Bryce Miller.

As a team, the Minnesota Twins are notching 4.7 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 9th in MLB. They have racked up 514 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .320. The Twins have accrued 178 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 126 baseballs out of the park. They have earned 488 RBI's as well as 903 base knocks for the year, and their batting average sits at .246. Minnesota has a slugging percentage of .407 and have been called out on strikes 886 times, while drawing a walk on 358 occasions.

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The Twins have an earned run average of 4.64 on the year (25th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 901 hitters. Twins pitchers have allowed 128 long balls in addition to 544 runs (25th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 395 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.36 as a team for the year. Minnesota has given up 932 base hits (8.7 per 9 innings) and 497 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.28 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.38.

The Twins have dispatched 356 relievers to the mound for the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 163 base runners for the season with 37.4% of them crossing the plate. The relief pitchers have 68 holds for the season (7th in MLB). Twins pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 110 times as well as having 111 appearances in high leverage situations. They have compiled 30 saves on the year and have blown 12 of their 42 chances to get a save. The Twins relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 71.4% and have come into the game in 113 save situations.

The Minnesota Twins have earned a total of 2,890 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 822 assists and 54 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .986 which has them sitting 14th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 75 double plays. The Twins have transformed 69.2% of balls hit into play into outs in their 8,670 innings, which has them sitting at 22nd in the majors.

Matthews (10-18 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 5.56 and he has gone up against 850 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has given up 221 base knocks (10.3 hits per nine innings) and has 59 walks. His ERA is 5.64 (121 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.451. Matthews has thrown 193 innings and has tallied 190 strikeouts during his career.

The Seattle Mariners have earned an OBP of .309 in addition to a batting average of .230 this season. They have been called out on strikes on 932 instances (11th in MLB) and have a total of 830 base knocks. Seattle has accumulated 129 home runs on the campaign as well as 422 runs batted in. The Mariners have a slugging percentage of .379 and they are scoring 4.02 runs per contest (28th in MLB). They have hit 134 doubles, while taking a walk 352 times and scoring 438 runs.

The Mariners hold a team WHIP of 1.187 and have a FIP of 3.65 as a unit this season. They are sitting at 12th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 874. The Seattle pitching staff have allowed 431 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 3.71 (397 earned runs surrendered). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.60 (924 strikeouts vs 268 walks). They have allowed 110 home runs and they give up 4.03 runs per 9 innings (5th in baseball).

They are currently ranked 17th in the league holding a save percentage of 61.0%, and they have dispatched 323 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 112 times in high leverage situations in addition to 73 occasions with base runners. With 100 save situations, the Mariners have accumulated 58 holds in addition to 16 blown saves. Seattle has called on relief pitchers to enter the game in 41 save chances and they have tallied 25 saves. Seattle relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 31.0% out of their 100 inherited runners.

In 8,661 innings played, the Mariners have a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (17th in the majors). The Seattle Mariners have turned 94 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (15th in the majors). The Mariners have accrued 882 assists, 55 errors and have a tally of 2,887 putouts so far this year.

So far in his career, Miller has allowed 400 hits and he has 435 punch outs in 470 frames. He has given up 200 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.097 and having a FIP of 3.8. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.75 and he has faced 1,897 hitters in his MLB career. Miller (28-26 career record) is the owner of a 3.83 earned run average and has given up 7.7 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Minnesota (+110)

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