Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, 8/1/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Saturday, August 1, 2026

Location: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+102) Seattle (-122)

The Seattle Mariners (53-57) will try to defeat the Minnesota Twins (55-55) at T-Mobile Park on Saturday. The moneyline on this game has Minnesota at +102 and Seattle is priced at -122. The betting total comes in at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Connor Prielipp and Logan Gilbert.

The Twins have accounted for 178 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 127 balls out of the stadium. Minnesota is slugging .405 and have struck out 894 times, while taking a walk on 361 occasions. As a squad, the Minnesota Twins are putting up 4.7 runs per contest, which puts them at 9th in baseball. They have accumulated 492 runs batted in in addition to 906 hits so far this season, while their batting average sits at .245. They have a total of 518 runs scored while having a team OBP of .319.

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The Twins have a team earned run average of 4.62 this year (25th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 906 batters. Twins pitchers have conceded 129 home runs and also 547 runs in total (26th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 398 batters and their FIP is 4.35 as a squad on the campaign. Minnesota has given up 940 hits (8.7 per 9 innings) as well as 499 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.28 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.38.

Twins bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 110 times in addition to having 111 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have notched 68 holds on the year (8th in MLB). The Twins relievers have compiled a save rate of 71.4% and stepped onto the hill in 113 save situations. They have earned 30 saves this season and have missed out on 12 out of their 42 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 163 runners on the season with 37.4% of those runners crossing home plate. The Twins have sent 359 relievers to the mound for the season.

The Twins have turned 69.3% of baseballs in play into outs out of 8,751 innings, which has them sitting 21st in baseball. The Minnesota Twins have amassed 2,917 putouts this year, as well as 836 assists and 55 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .986 which has them sitting 15th in the majors, and have a total of 76 double plays.

Prielipp (3-5 career record) sits with a FIP of 4.67 and he has faced 312 hitters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 68 base knocks (8.5 hits per 9 innings) and has 26 free passes. His ERA is 4.74 (38 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.304. Prielipp has taken the mound for 72 innings and has 76 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career.

The Mariners have a team slugging % of .379 and they tally 4.00 runs per game (28th in MLB). They have tallied 135 doubles, while getting a free base 357 times and putting up 440 runs. Seattle has accumulated 129 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 424 RBIs. They have been rung up on 943 occasions (11th in the league) and have notched a total of 838 base hits. The Seattle Mariners have earned a team on-base percentage of .309 and a batting average of .230 for the season.

The Mariners have a WHIP of 1.189 and have a FIP of 3.65 as a staff so far this year. They rank 14th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 882. The Seattle pitching staff have given up 437 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 3.74 (403 earned runs yielded). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.70 (937 strikeouts vs 271 bases on balls). They have relinquished 112 homers and they relinquish 4.05 runs per 9 innings (6th in MLB).

With 100 save situations, the Mariners have recorded 58 holds in addition to 16 blown saves. Seattle has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 41 save chances and they have recorded 25 saves. Seattle relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 31.0% out of their 100 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 112 times in high leverage situations and also on 73 occasions with runners on. They are currently ranked 17th in the league holding a save rate of 61.0%, and they have dispatched 325 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond over the course of the season.

In their 8,733 innings played, the Mariners are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 69.7% (17th in MLB). The Seattle Mariners have gotten 94 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .986 (14th in the majors). The Mariners have recorded 888 assists, 55 errors and have amassed 2,911 putouts on the campaign.

So far in his pro baseball career, Gilbert has conceded 801 hits while he has accumulated 1,017 K's in 960 innings pitched. He has allowed 380 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.051 and a FIP of 3.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.89 and he has gone up against 3,873 hitters during his MLB career. Gilbert (55-42 career record) has earned a 3.56 earned run average and has surrendered 7.5 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Seattle (-122)

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