Minnesota Twins vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 4/25/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Saturday, April 25, 2026

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+106) Tampa Bay (-128)

The Tampa Bay Rays (13-11) will play the Minnesota Twins (12-13) at Tropicana Field on Saturday. The odds on this game have the Twins at +106 while the Rays are sitting at -128. The over/under has been set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Bailey Ober and Shane McClanahan.

As a unit, the Minnesota Twins are putting up 5.1 runs per outing, which is 7th in MLB. They have accumulated 127 runs while having a team OBP of .331. The Twins have hit 31 doubles as a team and have hit 30 baseballs out of the stadium. They have earned 122 runs batted in as well as 191 hits over the course of the season, while their team batting average sits at .231. Minnesota has a slugging percentage of .383 and have been called out on strikes 224 times, while drawing a walk on 111 occasions.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.37 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.36. Twins pitchers have allowed 16 home runs and 116 total runs (19th in baseball). Minnesota has yielded 211 hits (8.6 per 9 innings) as well as 101 earned runs. The Twins hold a team earned run average of 4.11 so far this year (17th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 211 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 89 batters and their FIP is 3.62 as a unit so far this season.

The Twins relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 62.5% and have stepped onto the mound in 25 save situations. They have compiled 5 saves on the season and have blown 3 of their 8 chances to save the game. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 33 base runners this season and 30.3% of those runners crossing the plate. Twins bullpen pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 23 times in addition to having 25 appearances in high leverage situations. The Twins have dispatched 82 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season. The relievers have accumulated 17 holds over the course of the season (9th in MLB).

The Minnesota Twins have amassed 660 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 183 assists and 15 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .983 which is 25th in MLB, and have accumulated 20 double plays. The Twins have transformed 67.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of 1,980 innings, which has them sitting at 27th in MLB.

Ober has taken the mound for 643 frames and has 628 strikeouts so far in his career. Ober (33-30 career record) has a FIP of 4.02 and he has faced 2,627 opposing batters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 4.09 (292 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.127. He has allowed 583 hits (8.2 hits per nine innings) and has 142 free passes.

The Tampa Bay Rays have accounted for an on-base percentage of .333 in addition to a batting average of .257 on the year. They have been called out on strikes on 176 occasions (29th in baseball) and are sitting with 214 hits. Tampa Bay has tallied 20 HRs on the year and 110 runs batted in. The Rays hold a team slugging percentage of .378 and they are scoring 4.83 runs per contest (11th in MLB). They have put up 33 two-baggers, while walking 85 times and recording 116 runs.

The Rays are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.286 with a FIP of 4.67 as a pitching staff this season. They come in at 6th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 188. The Tampa Bay pitching staff have given up 128 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 4.71 (113 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.10 (194 strikeouts against 90 walks). They have conceded 33 HR's and they concede 5.33 runs per 9 innings (26th in MLB).

Sitting with 27 save situations, the Rays have compiled 15 holds and 4 blown saves. Tampa Bay has called on relief pitchers to take the mound in 12 save chances and they have walked away with 8 saves. Tampa Bay bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 43.3% out of 30 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 30 times in high leverage situations and on 24 occasions with runners on. They rank 12th in MLB with a save rate of 66.7%, and they have sent 78 relief pitchers to the mound for the year.

In 1,947 innings on the field, the Rays are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 72.2% (4th in professional baseball). The Tampa Bay Rays have gotten 10 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .976 (29th in pro baseball). The Rays have racked up 177 assists, 20 errors and have amassed 649 putouts this season.

In his MLB career, McClanahan has surrendered 344 base knocks and he has 474 K's in 422 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 146 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.116 and a FIP of 3.1. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.73 and he has faced 1,707 batters during his pro baseball career. McClanahan (34-18 career win-loss mark) holds a 3.11 earned run average while surrendering 7.3 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-128)

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