Minnesota Twins vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 5/7/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Minnesota Twins vs Washington Nationals

Date: Thursday, May 7, 2026

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: Nationals.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (-132) Washington (+110)

The Minnesota Twins (16-20) are traveling to Nationals Park on Thursday where they will try to defeat the Washington Nationals (16-20). The moneyline on this matchup has Minnesota at -132 while Washington is priced at +110. The over/under comes in at 8. The pitchers taking the mound are Simeon Woods Richardson and Jake Irvin.

Minnesota has a slugging percentage of .384 and have been called out on strikes 309 times, while being walked on 147 occasions. They have amassed 168 RBI's in addition to 284 hits for the year, while their team batting average is sitting at .236. The Twins have tallied 48 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 41 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accumulated 176 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .328. As a unit, the Minnesota Twins are scoring 4.9 runs per game, which has them sitting at 10th in the league.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.17 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.36. Twins pitchers have yielded 33 long balls and also 173 total runs (23rd in MLB). Minnesota has given up 302 base knocks (8.6 per 9 innings) as well as 155 earned runs. The Twins hold a team ERA of 4.41 for the year (20th in baseball), and they have rung up 276 hitters. They have walked 127 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.17 as a squad this year.

The Twins have dispatched 118 relievers to the mound for the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 51 base runners on the season and 33.3% of those players ended up scoring. The bullpen have a total of 24 holds on the campaign (8th in the league). Twins relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 35 times as well as having 32 appearances in high leverage situations. They have recorded 6 saves for the season and have blown 5 of their 11 chances to get a save. The Twins relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 54.5% and have stepped onto the mound in 35 save situations.

The Minnesota Twins are sitting with 948 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 274 assists and 18 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .985 which is 19th in the majors, and have accumulated 28 double plays. The Twins have turned 69.3% of baseballs in play into outs in their 2,844 innings, which has them ranked 20th in MLB.

Richardson has thrown 288 innings and is sitting with 249 K's thus far in his career. His earned run average is 4.49 (144 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.356. He has given up 278 hits (8.7 hits per nine innings) and has 113 free passes. Richardson (12-15 career win-loss mark) sits with a FIP of 4.43 and he has gone up against 1,245 hitters in the majors.

Washington has recorded 37 long balls so far this season and 169 runs batted in. They have tallied 60 two-baggers, while walking 130 times as well as earning 183 runs. The Washington Nationals have an OBP of .317 as well as a batting average of .237 so far this year. The Nationals have a SLG% of .380 and they average 5.08 runs per game (6th in baseball). They have struck out on 317 instances (8th in MLB) and have earned a total of 294 hits.

The Nationals hold a team WHIP of 1.458 and have a FIP of 5.13 as a squad on the campaign. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 7.50 (272 strikeouts against 146 free passes). They come in at 28th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 328. They have given up 53 home runs and they concede 5.76 runs per 9 innings (29th in baseball). The Washington pitching staff have surrendered 208 runs this season and come in with a team ERA of 4.90 (177 earned runs yielded).

Washington relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 49.0% of 49 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 36 times in high leverage situations and on 34 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 40 save situations, the Nationals have accumulated 18 holds and also 10 blown saves. They rank 28th in MLB with a save rate of 44.4%, and they have dispatched 121 bullpen pitchers to the hill for the season.

In 2,925 innings played, the Nationals are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 69.3% (19th in baseball). The Washington Nationals have gotten 24 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .975 (30th in the majors). The Nationals have 335 assists, 33 errors and have notched a total of 975 putouts so far this year.

During his career, Irvin has surrendered 516 base knocks and he has 418 punch outs in 522 innings. Irvin (23-38 mark in his career) has earned a 4.94 earned run average while giving up 8.9 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded 287 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.338 and a FIP of 4.9. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.28 and he has faced 2,240 hitters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Washington (+110)

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