New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, 5/10/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026

Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ

TV: DBACKS.TV

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-196) Arizona (+162)

The Arizona Diamondbacks (17-19) will try to beat the New York Mets (14-23) at Chase Field on Sunday. The line on this contest has the Mets at -196 and the Diamondbacks are priced at +162. The betting total is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are David Peterson and Eduardo Rodriguez.

New York has a slugging % of .351 and have been rung up 287 times, while taking a walk on 110 occasions. They have earned 127 RBI's and 283 base knocks this year, and their average at the plate comes in at .229. The Mets have hit 50 doubles as a squad and have hit 30 balls out of the stadium. They are sitting with 134 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .293. As a team, the New York Mets are recording 3.6 runs per game, which ranks them 29th in baseball.

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The Mets are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.01 this season (13th in the league), and the staff has struck out 351 hitters. Mets pitchers have surrendered 33 long balls in addition to 162 runs in total (13th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 129 batters and their FIP sits at 3.60 as a unit so far this season. New York has conceded 295 base knocks (8.0 per 9 innings) as well as 148 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.72 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.28.

Mets pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 38 times and also have had 48 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have accumulated 12 holds so far this season (29th in the league). The Mets relievers have accumulated a save rate of 50.0% and have come into the game in 22 save situations. They have earned 5 saves so far this year and have not converted 5 out of their 10 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 53 runners on the year with 37.7% of those players earned a run for their team. The Mets have sent 110 relievers to the mound for the year.

The New York Mets have 996 putouts thus far, in addition to 308 assists and 17 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .987 which puts them in 13th in pro baseball, and have 22 double plays. The Mets have transformed 69.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 2,988 innings on the field, which has them ranked 21st in professional baseball.

Peterson (38-34 record in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.17 while he has gone up against 2,830 hitters during his time in the majors. He has allowed 634 base knocks (8.7 hits per 9 innings) with 276 walks. His earned run average is 4.24 (309 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.387. Peterson has thrown 656 innings and has earned 649 punch outs during his MLB career.

Arizona has compiled 35 home runs this season to go along with 155 RBIs. They have put up 64 doubles, while getting a free base 99 times as well as putting up 161 runs. The Arizona Diamondbacks have a team on-base percentage of .302 and a team batting average of .242 so far this season. The Diamondbacks have a SLG% of .402 and they average 4.47 runs per contest (13th in baseball). They have struck out on 285 occasions (27th in MLB) and have notched a total of 288 hits.

The Diamondbacks have a team WHIP of 1.367 and have a FIP of 4.59 as a unit this season. They sit at 18th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 308. The Arizona pitching staff have given up 186 runs on the campaign while holding an ERA of 4.78 (168 earned runs given up). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 7.60 (266 strikeouts against 124 free passes). They have conceded 45 long balls and they allow 5.30 runs per 9 innings (27th in MLB).

Sitting with 41 save situations, the Diamondbacks have 25 holds and also 6 blown saves. Arizona has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 15 save chances and they have tallied 9 saves. Arizona relievers hold an inherited score rate of 26.0% out of their 50 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 45 times in high leverage situations in addition to 35 occasions with base runners. They rank 17th in baseball with a save percentage of 60.0%, and they have sent 127 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have turned 23 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (22nd in the majors). The Diamondbacks have 320 assists, 19 errors and have 949 putouts on the campaign. Out of their 2,847 innings on the field, the Diamondbacks are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (16th in pro baseball).

In his career, Rodriguez has conceded 1,312 base hits while accumulating 1,326 K's in 1,343 frames. He has given up a total of 618 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.329 and a FIP of 4.1. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.80 and he has faced 5,748 hitters so far in his MLB career. Rodriguez (97-66 career mark) holds a 4.14 earned run average while giving up 8.8 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Arizona (+162)

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