New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, 5/8/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Date: Friday, May 8, 2026

Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ

TV: DBACKS.TV

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-128) Arizona (+106)

Chase Field is the site where the Arizona Diamondbacks (17-18) will play the New York Mets (14-22) on Friday. The odds on this game have the Mets at -128 and the Diamondbacks are coming in at +106. The over/under is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Nolan McLean and Ryne Nelson.

The Mets have recorded 50 doubles as a squad and have hit 30 balls out of the stadium. New York has a slugging percentage of .352 and have been called out on strikes 281 times, while being walked on 105 occasions. As a squad, the New York Mets are scoring 3.7 runs per contest, which is 29th in MLB. They have accrued 125 runs batted in as well as 277 base knocks on the campaign, while their team batting average is sitting at .230. They have notched a total of 132 runs while holding a team OBP of .293.

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The Mets have compiled a team ERA of 3.94 for the season (11th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 341 batters. Mets pitchers have given up 32 home runs and 156 total runs (11th in baseball). They have walked 122 batters and their FIP sits at 3.57 as a unit on the campaign. New York has given up 288 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and 142 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.80 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.27.

The Mets have dispatched 107 relief pitchers to the mound for the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 50 base runners on the campaign with 40.0% of them crossing the plate. The relievers are sitting with 12 holds on the year (29th in MLB). Mets pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 36 times and also have had 46 appearances in high leverage situations. They have tallied 5 saves this season and have not converted 5 of 10 save opportunities. The Mets relievers have compiled a save rate of 50.0% and have stepped onto the mound in 22 save situations.

The New York Mets have notched a total of 972 putouts this season, as well as 303 assists and 17 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .987 which ranks 12th in professional baseball, and they have turned 21 double plays. The Mets have converted 69.2% of baseballs in play into outs out of 2,916 innings, which has them sitting at 20th in professional baseball.

McLean (6-3 career win-loss mark) has a FIP of 2.44 and he has faced 341 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. He has given up 60 hits (6.2 hits per nine innings) and has 27 free passes. His earned run average is 2.48 (24 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 0.999. McLean has taken the mound for 87 innings and has racked up 108 K's in his career.

The Diamondbacks hold a team SLG% of .405 and they score 4.54 runs per contest (12th in the league). They have recorded 64 two-baggers, while walking 95 times and racking up 159 runs. Arizona has compiled 34 home runs for the season as well as 153 RBIs. They have struck out on 279 occasions (27th in the league) and have recorded 283 hits. The Arizona Diamondbacks have tallied an on-base percentage of .303 as well as a team batting average of .244 this year.

The Arizona pitching staff have given up 182 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 4.81 (164 earned runs conceded). They have surrendered 43 home runs and they surrender 5.33 runs per 9 innings (27th in the league). The Diamondbacks are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.374 and have a FIP of 4.56 as a unit this season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 7.60 (258 strikeouts vs 121 walks). They rank 17th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 301.

They are currently ranked 18th in baseball holding a save percentage of 60.0%, and they have sent 124 relievers onto the field so far this season. Their relievers have come in 45 times in high leverage situations and on 35 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 41 save situations, the Diamondbacks have accumulated 25 holds and 6 blown saves. Arizona has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 15 save opportunities and they have come away with 9 saves. Arizona relievers hold an inherited score rate of 26.0% of 50 inherited base runners.

In 2,766 innings played, the Diamondbacks are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.1% (16th in MLB). The Arizona Diamondbacks have gotten 22 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (20th in MLB). The Diamondbacks have accrued 312 assists, 18 errors and have 922 putouts this year.

So far in his pro baseball career, Nelson has conceded 479 hits while accumulating 398 strikeouts in 498 innings pitched. Nelson (27-21 mark in his career) holds a 4.34 ERA while surrendering 8.7 hits per nine innings. He has given up 240 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.243 and a FIP of 4.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.84 and he has faced 2,080 batters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Arizona (+106)

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