New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, 5/9/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026

Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ

TV: DBACKS.TV

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-130) Arizona (+110)

Chase Field is the location where the Arizona Diamondbacks (17-19) will play the New York Mets (14-23) on Saturday. The line on this matchup has New York at -130 while Arizona is opening at +110. The over/under is 8. The pitchers taking the mound will be Clay Holmes and Merrill Kelly.

New York is slugging .351 and have been called out on strikes 287 times, while drawing a walk on 110 occasions. They have amassed 127 runs batted in in addition to 283 base knocks on the campaign, while their team batting average is .229. The Mets have recorded 50 two-baggers as a team and have hit 30 baseballs out of the stadium. They have earned a total of 134 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .293. As a team, the New York Mets are notching 3.6 runs/g, which puts them at 29th in MLB.

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The Mets have a team ERA of 4.01 so far this year (13th in the league), and the staff has struck out 351 hitters. Mets pitchers have given up 33 home runs in addition to 162 runs in total (13th in the league). They have walked 129 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 3.60 as a team on the season. New York has surrendered 295 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) as well as 148 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.72 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.28.

The Mets relievers have a save percentage of 50.0% and have come into the game in 22 save situations. They have compiled 5 saves on the year and have blown 5 of 10 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 53 runners for the year with 37.7% of those players earned a run for their team. Mets pitchers have come into the game with runners on 38 times as well as having 48 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have dispatched 110 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year. The relief pitchers have accumulated 12 holds for the year (29th in baseball).

The New York Mets have accumulated 996 putouts for the season, as well as 308 assists and 17 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .987 which puts them in 13th in pro baseball, and have a total of 22 double plays. The Mets have converted 69.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 2,988 innings, which has them sitting 21st in MLB.

Holmes has taken the hill for 545 innings and is sitting with 520 K's during his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.50 (212 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.278. He has given up 464 hits (7.7 hits per nine innings) with 233 walks. Holmes (40-32 career win-loss record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.45 while facing 2,336 hitters during his time in the major leagues.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have an OBP of .302 and a team batting average of .242 so far this season. They have struck out on 285 occasions (27th in the league) and have a total of 288 base hits. Arizona has 35 home runs on the season to go along with 155 RBIs. The Diamondbacks have a team slugging percentage of .402 and they average 4.47 runs per contest (13th in MLB). They have put up 64 doubles, while taking a walk 99 times and scoring 161 runs.

The Diamondbacks have a team WHIP of 1.367 in addition to having a FIP of 4.59 as a team so far this season. They come in at 18th in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 308. The Arizona pitching staff have allowed 186 runs for the year and come in with a team ERA of 4.78 (168 earned runs conceded). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 7.60 (266 strikeouts against 124 bases on balls). They have given up 45 home runs and they concede 5.30 runs per 9 innings (27th in MLB).

With 41 save situations, the Diamondbacks have compiled 25 holds in addition to 6 blown saves. Arizona has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 15 save chances and they have come away with 9 saves. Arizona relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 26.0% out of their 50 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 45 times in high leverage situations and also on 35 occasions with runners on. They are ranked 17th in MLB holding a save percentage of 60.0%, and they have sent 127 relievers to the mound this year.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have turned 23 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .985 (22nd in professional baseball). The Diamondbacks have racked up 320 assists, 19 errors and have earned 949 putouts over the course of the season. Out of their 2,847 innings on the diamond, the Diamondbacks hold a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (16th in pro baseball).

Kelly (66-56 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 3.88 ERA and has given up 8.2 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.94 and he has gone up against 4,241 hitters during his career. He has conceded 443 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.218 and having a FIP of 3.8. So far in his pro baseball career, Kelly has allowed 936 base hits while accumulating 925 strikeouts in 1,027 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Arizona (+110)

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