New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 7/3/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Friday, July 3, 2026

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Braves.TV

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+106) Atlanta (-128)

Truist Park is where the Atlanta Braves (49-34) will attempt to beat the New York Mets (36-50) on Friday. The line on this matchup has New York at +106 while Atlanta opens at -128. The total has been set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Christian Scott and Bryce Elder.

As a team, the New York Mets are putting up 4.0 runs per outing, which has them at 28th in baseball. They have 343 runs and have an OBP of .298. The Mets have accounted for 104 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 96 balls out of the park. They have accrued 329 RBI's in addition to 662 hits for the year, and their team batting average is .230. New York has a slugging percentage of .375 and have struck out 715 times, while being walked on 260 occasions.

Get all of our MLB Picks Today

Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.60 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.27. Mets pitchers have yielded 85 home runs and also 386 runs in total (18th in the league). New York has given up 675 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and also 346 earned runs. The Mets hold a team ERA of 4.06 so far this season (13th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 786 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 302 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.83 as a unit over the course of the season.

The Mets bullpen have accumulated a save rate of 60.9% and have come into the game in 55 save situations. They have accumulated 14 saves on the year and have blown 9 of their 23 chances to save the game. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 114 base runners this season and 31.6% of those players earned a run for their team. Mets pitchers have come into the game with players on base 86 times in addition to having 95 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have dispatched 261 relievers to the hill for the year. The relief pitchers have tallied 32 holds on the season (28th in baseball).

The Mets have converted 69.7% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 6,909 innings on the field, which has them sitting 17th in professional baseball. The New York Mets have earned a total of 2,303 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 696 assists and 56 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .982 which has them sitting 28th in baseball, and they have turned 50 double plays.

Scott (2-3 mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.85 while he has faced 393 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 84 hits (8.2 hits per nine innings) and has 33 free passes. His earned run average is 3.91 (40 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.270. Scott has taken the mound for 92 innings and is sitting with 92 strikeouts during his career.

The Atlanta Braves have a team OBP of .311 as well as a batting average of .247 over the course of the season. They have been called out on strikes on 661 instances (25th in the league) and have tallied 695 hits. Atlanta has compiled 103 home runs on the season to go along with 382 RBIs. The Braves have a team slugging % of .406 and they are recording 4.73 runs per game (9th in the league). They have tallied 126 doubles, while taking a walk 246 times and notching 393 runs.

The Braves have a team WHIP of 1.212 and have a FIP of 3.96 as a team on the year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.70 (712 strikeouts against 276 walks). They rank 3rd in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 615. They have given up 88 homers and they surrender 3.76 runs per 9 innings (3rd in MLB). The Atlanta pitching staff have surrendered 307 runs so far this season while holding an ERA of 3.43 (280 earned runs yielded).

Sitting with 85 save situations, the Braves have 51 holds and 7 blown saves. Atlanta has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 31 save opportunities and they have earned 24 saves. Atlanta relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 26.9% of 78 inherited runners. Their relievers have taken the field 81 times in high leverage situations and on 54 occasions with runners on. They are currently ranked 4th in baseball holding a save percentage of 77.4%, and they have dispatched 256 relievers to the hill on the campaign.

Out of their 6,621 innings played, the Braves have earned a defensive efficiency of 71.9% (3rd in MLB). The Atlanta Braves have turned 59 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (10th in professional baseball). The Braves have recorded 673 assists, 37 errors and have earned a total of 2,207 putouts so far this season.

During his pro baseball career, Elder has allowed 526 hits while totaling 435 punch outs in 532 innings. He has allowed 265 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.334 and having a FIP of 4.4. His K/BB ratio is 2.36 and he has gone up against 2,279 opposing batters so far in his MLB career. Elder (29-30 record in his career) holds a 4.48 ERA while allowing 8.9 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atlanta (-128)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get MLB picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.