New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 7/6/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Monday, July 6, 2026

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Braves.TV

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+125) Atlanta (-145)

The Atlanta Braves (52-35) are welcoming the New York Mets (36-53) at Truist Park on Monday. The moneyline on this contest has the Mets at +125 and the Braves are opening at -145. The total comes in at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Freddy Peralta and Reynaldo Lopez.

New York has a slugging percentage of .375 and have been rung up 741 times, while being walked on 267 occasions. They have recorded 338 runs batted in as well as 687 hits for the year, while their batting average is sitting at .230. The Mets have hit 106 doubles as a squad and have hit 101 baseballs out of the park. They have notched a total of 352 runs while holding a team OBP of .298. As a team, the New York Mets are notching 4.0 runs per outing, which ranks them 29th in the league.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.57 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.29. Mets pitchers have allowed 96 home runs and 414 total runs (19th in baseball). New York has allowed 705 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) as well as 374 earned runs. The Mets hold a team ERA of 4.25 so far this season (17th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 809 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 315 opposing players and their FIP is 4.00 as a squad this year.

The Mets have dispatched 270 relievers to the hill over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 115 runners for the season with 31.3% of those players crossing the plate. The relievers have earned 32 holds so far this year (28th in the league). Mets bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 87 times as well as having 95 appearances in high leverage situations. They have compiled 14 saves over the course of the season and have not converted 9 of their 23 chances to save the game. The Mets relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 60.9% and have come into the game in 55 save situations.

The New York Mets have a total of 2,375 putouts for the season, in addition to 723 assists and 56 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .982 which ranks 27th in baseball, and they have turned 51 double plays. The Mets have converted 69.7% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 7,125 innings, which ranks them 19th in professional baseball.

Peralta (75-49 career mark) sits with a FIP of 3.65 and he has gone up against 4,275 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. He has allowed 791 hits (6.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 398 walks. His earned run average is 3.70 (422 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.159. Peralta has thrown 1,026 innings and has racked up 1,245 strikeouts during his pro baseball career.

The Braves hold a team slugging percentage of .411 and they are recording 4.85 runs per game (7th in the league). They have put up 131 doubles, while getting a free base 261 times and putting up 422 runs. Atlanta has compiled 113 home runs for the season and 411 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 688 occasions (25th in MLB) and have 727 base hits. The Atlanta Braves have recorded an OBP of .312 in addition to a team batting average of .247 for the year.

The Braves hold a team WHIP of 1.215 and have a FIP of 3.99 as a staff for the year. They are currently ranked 3rd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 652. The Atlanta pitching staff have given up 325 runs this season while having an ERA of 3.47 (297 earned runs surrendered). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.70 (742 strikeouts vs 285 free passes). They have conceded 94 home runs and they allow 3.79 runs per 9 innings (3rd in the league).

They are currently ranked 4th in baseball holding a save percentage of 76.5%, and they have dispatched 270 relief pitchers to the hill this season. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 86 times in high leverage situations and on 59 occasions with base runners. With 95 save situations, the Braves have recorded 58 holds and 8 blown saves. Atlanta has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 34 save chances and they have tallied 26 saves. Atlanta relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 28.2% out of their 85 inherited base runners.

The Atlanta Braves have turned 65 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .987 (12th in MLB). The Braves have recorded 711 assists, 40 errors and have accumulated 2,315 putouts so far this season. Out of their 6,945 innings on the diamond, the Braves have a defensive efficiency of 71.7% (4th in baseball).

During his pro baseball career, Lopez has surrendered 797 base hits while he has tallied 812 punch outs in 871 innings. Lopez (51-55 career record) has a 3.90 ERA and has surrendered 8.2 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed a total of 378 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.276 and a FIP of 3.8. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.58 and he has faced 3,678 opposing hitters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Atlanta (-145) and under 8.5 runs

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