New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 8/11/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Tuesday, August 11, 2026

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Braves.TV

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+106) Atlanta (-128)

Truist Park is the location where the Atlanta Braves (70-47) will compete against the New York Mets (51-67) on Tuesday. The moneyline on this contest has the Mets at +106 while the Braves are priced at -128. The over/under is 8. The pitchers who are expected to start are Nolan McLean and Martin Perez.

As a unit, the New York Mets are scoring 4.1 runs per game, which has them at 24th in the league. They have 488 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .304. The Mets have earned 147 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 141 balls out of the park. They have tallied 465 runs batted in in addition to 928 hits on the year, while their batting average comes in at .234. New York owns a slugging percentage of .385 and have struck out 1,005 times, while taking a walk on 375 occasions.

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The Mets are sitting with a team ERA of 4.13 on the year (14th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 1,062 batters. Mets pitchers have yielded 126 home runs and also 541 runs in total (19th in the league). They have walked 421 batters and their FIP comes in at 3.99 as a squad for the year. New York has allowed 958 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) as well as 483 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.52 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.31.

The Mets have dispatched 361 relievers to the mound for the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 152 base runners on the campaign and 29.6% of them ended up scoring. The relievers have a total of 46 holds over the course of the season (27th in the league). Mets relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 110 times as well as having 120 appearances in high leverage situations. They have compiled 20 saves for the year and have blown 14 of their 34 chances to get a save. The Mets relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 58.8% and have entered the game in 80 save situations.

The Mets have converted 69.1% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 9,465 innings, which ranks them 25th in pro baseball. The New York Mets have accumulated 3,155 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 945 assists and 79 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .981 which has them ranked 29th in professional baseball, and they have turned 73 double plays.

McLean has taken the ball for 178 frames and has 213 K's so far in his MLB career. His earned run average is 3.13 (62 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.134. He has conceded 138 hits (7.0 hits per 9 innings) and has 64 walks. McLean (13-8 record in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.08 and he has faced 736 opposing hitters in the major leagues.

The Braves hold a team slugging % of .420 and they tally 4.91 runs per outing (6th in MLB). They have notched 186 two-baggers, while taking a walk 346 times as well as putting up 574 runs. Atlanta is sitting with 158 long balls this year as well as 552 RBIs. They have been rung up on 940 occasions (23rd in baseball) and have notched a total of 993 base hits. The Atlanta Braves are sitting with an OBP of .315 and a team batting average of .250 over the course of the season.

The Atlanta pitching staff have given up 455 runs on the campaign while holding an ERA of 3.63 (419 earned runs relinquished). They have surrendered 132 homers and they allow 3.94 runs per 9 innings (6th in MLB). The Braves have a team WHIP of 1.241 in addition to having a FIP of 4.08 as a squad on the year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.70 (1,009 strikeouts against 404 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 5th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 887.

Atlanta bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 22.2% out of 126 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 132 times in high leverage situations and also on 87 occasions with base runners. With 140 save situations, the Braves have 85 holds and 15 blown saves. They rank 8th in baseball with a save rate of 70.6%, and they have sent 375 relief pitchers to the hill this season.

Out of their 9,360 innings on the field, the Braves hold a defensive efficiency of 71.5% (4th in MLB). The Atlanta Braves have gotten 95 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .986 (13th in baseball). The Braves have accrued 951 assists, 56 errors and have amassed 3,120 putouts on the season.

Perez (98-99 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 4.34 ERA while allowing 9.5 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.95 and he has faced 7,477 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career. He has surrendered a total of 835 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.418 and having a FIP of 4.3. So far in his career, Perez has surrendered 1,825 base knocks and he has 1,231 punch outs in 1,731 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atlanta (-128)

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