New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 8/12/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Wednesday, August 12, 2026

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Braves.TV

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+110) Atlanta (-132)

Truist Park is the location where the Atlanta Braves (71-47) will go up against the New York Mets (52-67) on Wednesday. The odds on this game have New York at +110 and Atlanta is coming in at -132. The betting total is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Zac Thornton and Tyler Mahle.

The Mets have tallied 149 doubles as a unit and have hit 143 baseballs out of the park. New York has a slugging percentage of .387 and have been called out on strikes 1,015 times, while taking a walk on 382 occasions. As a unit, the New York Mets are earning 4.2 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. They have accumulated 476 RBI's and 943 base knocks over the course of the season, and their batting average is sitting at .235. They have a total of 499 runs and have an OBP of .306.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.55 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.30. Mets pitchers have allowed 127 long balls and 542 runs (19th in baseball). New York has given up 962 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 484 earned runs. The Mets are sitting with a team ERA of 4.11 on the year (14th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 1,075 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 421 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.97 as a team over the course of the season.

Mets bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 110 times in addition to having 120 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have earned 46 holds on the year (28th in the league). The Mets bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 58.8% and have entered the game in 80 save situations. They have accumulated 20 saves on the year and have blown 14 of their 34 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 152 runners over the course of the season with 29.6% of them ended up scoring. The Mets have sent 362 relievers to the hill for the season.

The New York Mets have amassed 3,182 putouts for the season, in addition to 950 assists and 79 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .981 which puts them in 28th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 73 double plays. The Mets have turned 69.2% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 9,546 innings, ranking them 24th in professional baseball.

Thornton has taken the hill for 39 innings and is sitting with 27 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 2.53 (11 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.074. He has surrendered 30 base knocks (6.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 12 free passes. Thornton (3-2 career mark) holds a FIP of 2.49 while facing 153 batters during his time in the majors.

The Atlanta Braves are sitting with an OBP of .313 in addition to a team batting average of .249 this season. They have struck out on 954 occasions (23rd in baseball) and have earned 997 hits. Atlanta has hit 159 long balls so far this year to go along with 554 RBIs. The Braves hold a slugging % of .419 and they tally 4.88 runs per contest (6th in baseball). They have tallied 187 doubles, while taking a walk 346 times as well as putting up 576 runs.

The Atlanta pitching staff have surrendered 456 runs over the course of the season while holding an ERA of 3.60 (420 earned runs conceded). They have allowed 133 homers and they relinquish 3.91 runs per 9 innings (5th in baseball). The Braves hold a team WHIP of 1.236 in addition to having a FIP of 4.07 as a pitching staff on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.70 (1,018 strikeouts vs 407 free passes). They rank 4th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 891.

Atlanta relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 22.0% out of 127 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 136 times in high leverage situations and also on 89 occasions with base runners. With 143 save situations, the Braves have accrued 86 holds and also 16 blown saves. They sit at 9th in MLB holding a save rate of 69.8%, and they have dispatched 379 relievers to the mound for the year.

In 9,450 innings played, the Braves hold a defensive efficiency of 71.6% (4th in baseball). The Atlanta Braves have gotten 97 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (13th in baseball). The Braves have accrued 958 assists, 56 errors and have earned a total of 3,150 putouts for the season.

During his career, Mahle has allowed 684 hits while tallying 762 K's in 741 innings. He has surrendered a total of 332 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.282 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.0. His K/BB ratio is 2.86 and he has faced 3,145 hitters during his MLB career. Mahle (39-46 mark in his career) has a 4.03 ERA while surrendering 8.3 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atlanta (-132)

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