New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 4/17/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Friday, April 17, 2026

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+125) Chicago (-150)

Wrigley Field is the location where the Chicago Cubs (9-9) will go up against the New York Mets (7-12) on Friday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Mets at +125 and the Cubs are coming in at -150. The total is set at 8. The starting pitchers will be Kodai Senga and Edward Cabrera.

The Mets have accrued 24 doubles as a team and have hit 14 balls out of the park. New York has a slugging % of .331 and have been called out on strikes 156 times, while taking a walk on 58 occasions. As a team, the New York Mets are putting up 3.4 runs per game, which ranks them 27th in MLB. They have accrued 62 RBI's in addition to 142 hits over the course of the season, while their team batting average is .220. They have racked up 65 runs while having a team OBP of .286.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.66 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.27. Mets pitchers have surrendered 16 home runs and 79 runs in total (14th in MLB). New York has given up 152 base knocks (8.0 per 9 innings) in addition to 73 earned runs. The Mets have a team earned run average of 3.83 on the campaign (11th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 173 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 65 opposing players and their FIP sits at 3.56 as a team over the course of the season.

Mets bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 15 times as well as having 21 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen are sitting with 4 holds on the season (29th in the league). The Mets bullpen have recorded a save rate of 50.0% and have entered the game in 8 save situations. They have accumulated 2 saves so far this year and have blown 2 out of their 4 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 16 base runners for the year and 50.0% of them crossing home plate. The Mets have dispatched 53 relievers to the hill this season.

The Mets have turned 69.8% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 1,545 innings on the field, which ranks them 20th in baseball. The Minnesota Twins have amassed 515 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 174 assists and 9 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .987 which is 14th in professional baseball, and they have turned 10 double plays.

Senga has thrown 299 innings and has earned 339 strikeouts in his career. His ERA is 3.19 (106 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.268. He has conceded 239 hits (7.2 hits per nine innings) and has had 140 free passes. Senga (20-15 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.14 while he has gone up against 1,260 hitters during his time in the majors.

The Chicago Cubs have compiled an on-base percentage of .341 and a team batting average of .248 for the season. They have been called out on strikes on 160 instances (14th in MLB) and have earned a total of 153 hits. Chicago has compiled 19 long balls over the course of the season to go along with 84 runs batted in. The Cubs have a slugging percentage of .386 and they score 5.22 runs per outing (7th in the league). They have 28 two-baggers, while getting a free base 85 times and scoring 94 runs.

The Cubs have a team WHIP of 1.150 in addition to having a FIP of 4.23 as a unit this season. They are sitting at 4th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 128. The Chicago pitching staff have given up 75 runs this season while holding an ERA of 3.88 (69 earned runs surrendered). Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.70 (155 strikeouts vs 56 walks). They have relinquished 22 long balls and they yield 4.22 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league).

They rank 29th in baseball holding a save rate of 40.0%, and they have dispatched 55 relievers to the mound this season. Their relievers have come in 14 times in high leverage situations and also on 19 occasions with base runners. With 7 save situations, the Cubs have 2 holds in addition to 3 blown saves. Chicago has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 5 save opportunities and they have walked away with 2 saves. Chicago relievers have an inherited score rate of 26.9% of 26 inherited base runners.

In their 1,440 innings played, the Cubs have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 73.1% (2nd in pro baseball). The Chicago Cubs have gotten 14 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .988 (11th in baseball). The Cubs have racked up 159 assists, 8 errors and have a tally of 480 putouts this year.

Cabrera (26-29 career record) has a 3.98 earned run average and has conceded 7.2 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.18 and he has faced 1,910 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career. He has allowed 198 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.305 and having a FIP of 3.9. During his career, Cabrera has conceded 359 base knocks while accumulating 491 strikeouts in 447 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (+125)

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