New York Mets vs Chicago White Sox Prediction, 8/22/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Chicago White Sox

Date: Saturday, August 22, 2026

Location: Rate Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Chicago Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-130) Chicago (+110)

The New York Mets (58-70) are hitting the road to Rate Field on Saturday where they will try to beat the Chicago White Sox (66-61). The odds on this game have New York at -130 while Chicago is sitting at +110. The total has been set at 8. The pitchers taking the mound will be Christian Scott and Luis Castillo.

As a team, the New York Mets are recording 4.2 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 23rd in MLB. They have 531 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .307. The Mets have accrued 159 two-baggers as a team and have hit 155 baseballs out of the stadium. They have 508 RBI's in addition to 1,009 base knocks so far this season, while their team batting average is sitting at .235. New York has a slugging rate of .388 and have been called out on strikes 1,087 times, while being walked on 414 occasions.

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The Mets hold a team earned run average of 4.06 so far this year (15th in the league), and they have struck out 1,153 hitters. Mets pitchers have allowed 138 home runs in addition to 573 total runs (18th in MLB). They have walked 455 batters and their FIP is 4.00 as a unit for the year. New York has conceded 1,025 base knocks (8.1 per 9 innings) as well as 514 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.53 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.30.

The Mets have dispatched 391 relievers to the mound for the season. The relievers have inherited 166 base runners for the season with 28.3% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The relievers have racked up 54 holds over the course of the season (26th in the league). Mets relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 120 times as well as having 133 appearances in high leverage situations. They have earned 25 saves for the year and have not converted 14 of 39 save opportunities. The Mets bullpen have a save percentage of 64.1% and stepped onto the hill in 95 save situations.

The Mets have turned 69.4% of balls in play into outs out of 10,257 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 22nd in pro baseball. The New York Mets have earned a total of 3,419 putouts this season, as well as 1,009 assists and 82 errors. Their fielding rate is at .982 which puts them in 27th in professional baseball, and they have turned 80 double plays.

Scott has taken the ball for 131 innings and is sitting with 144 K's during his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.91 (57 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.264. He has given up 119 base knocks (8.2 hits per nine innings) with 47 free passes. Scott (4-6 mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.85 while going up against 564 opposing batters in the majors.

The White Sox hold a team slugging percentage of .408 and they are recording 4.76 runs per game (7th in baseball). They have recorded 203 two-baggers, while taking a walk 440 times as well as scoring 605 runs. Chicago has tallied 167 home runs this season to go along with 578 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 1,157 instances (6th in the league) and have 1,016 base knocks. The Chicago White Sox have a team on-base percentage of .318 in addition to a team batting average of .238 for the year.

The White Sox have a WHIP of 1.295 and have a FIP of 4.20 as a staff on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.50 (1,074 strikeouts against 458 free passes). They are currently ranked 9th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,010. They have surrendered 140 dingers and they surrender 4.44 runs per 9 innings (16th in baseball). The Chicago pitching staff have relinquished 560 runs for the season while holding a team ERA of 4.06 (512 earned runs surrendered).

They are currently ranked 24th in baseball with a save percentage of 56.9%, and they have dispatched 429 relievers onto the field so far this season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 130 times in high leverage situations and also on 142 occasions with runners on. With 112 save situations, the White Sox have compiled 53 holds and also 25 blown saves. Chicago has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 58 save chances and they have walked away with 33 saves. Chicago relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 31.5% out of 203 inherited base runners.

Out of their 10,206 innings on the diamond, the White Sox hold a defensive efficiency of 70.5% (11th in pro baseball). The Chicago White Sox have turned 87 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .985 (19th in professional baseball). The White Sox have recorded 1,044 assists, 69 errors and have notched a total of 3,402 putouts during this campaign.

So far in his career, Castillo has given up 1,223 base knocks while tallying 1,509 punch outs in 1,425 innings pitched. Castillo (85-84 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 3.57 earned run average while allowing 7.7 hits per 9 innings. He has given up 565 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.179 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.5. His K/BB ratio is 3.30 and he has faced 5,889 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chicago (+110)

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