New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 6/15/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Monday, June 15, 2026

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Reds.TV

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-145) Cincinnati (+125)

The Cincinnati Reds (33-36) are welcoming the New York Mets (31-39) at Great American Ball Park on Monday. The moneyline on this matchup has New York at -145 while Cincinnati is opening at +125. The over/under is 8.5. The starting pitchers will be David Peterson and Chase Burns.

New York has a slugging % of .368 and have been rung up 573 times, while being walked on 192 occasions. They have 267 RBI's in addition to 532 base knocks over the course of the season, while their batting average is at .228. The Mets have tallied 89 doubles as a team and have hit 74 balls out of the stadium. They have tallied 280 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .292. As a squad, the New York Mets are notching 4.0 runs per game, which has them sitting at 28th in the league.

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The Mets are sitting with a team ERA of 3.89 on the season (9th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 640 batters. Mets pitchers have yielded 67 long balls and 298 total runs (11th in the league). They have walked 251 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.80 as a team this season. New York has relinquished 549 base hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and 271 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.55 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.28.

Mets pitchers have entered the game with runners on 74 times and also have had 88 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 27 holds for the season (27th in the league). The Mets bullpen have a save percentage of 57.1% and have come into the game in 48 save situations. They have compiled 12 saves so far this year and have missed out on 9 of their 21 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 94 base runners over the course of the season with 30.9% of them crossing home plate. The Mets have sent 212 relievers to the mound for the year.

The Mets have transformed 70.1% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 5,649 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 14th in the majors. The New York Mets have a tally of 1,883 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 570 assists and 36 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .986 which has them ranked 20th in the majors, and they have turned 38 double plays.

Peterson has taken the ball for 683 innings and has earned 671 strikeouts during his career. Peterson (40-35 record in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.20 and he has gone up against 2,957 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 4.27 (324 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.398. He has surrendered 667 base hits (8.8 hits per nine innings) with 288 free passes.

The Reds have a slugging percentage of .392 and they are recording 4.20 runs per game (20th in baseball). They have 107 doubles, while taking a walk 269 times and putting up 290 runs. Cincinnati has hit 87 home runs on the year as well as 272 runs batted in. They have struck out on 644 occasions (3rd in the league) and have recorded 530 hits. The Cincinnati Reds have accumulated a team on-base percentage of .312 and a batting average of .229 for the season.

The Cincinnati pitching staff have given up 346 runs over the course of the season while holding an ERA of 4.69 (321 earned runs yielded). They have allowed 95 dingers and they concede 5.06 runs per 9 innings (24th in the league). The Reds have a WHIP of 1.466 with a FIP of 5.06 as a team on the year. Their K/BB ratio is 7.90 (540 strikeouts vs 313 walks). They rank 22nd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 590.

With 75 save situations, the Reds have amassed 44 holds and 14 blown saves. Cincinnati has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 30 save chances and they have recorded 16 saves. Cincinnati relievers hold an inherited score rate of 27.9% out of 111 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 89 times in high leverage situations and also on 80 occasions with runners on. They rank 26th in the league with a save percentage of 53.3%, and they have sent 255 bullpen pitchers onto the field on the campaign.

The Cincinnati Reds have turned 54 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (18th in MLB). The Reds have 572 assists, 34 errors and have a tally of 1,848 putouts for the season. In their 5,544 innings on the field, the Reds have a defensive efficiency of 70.5% (11th in MLB).

So far in his pro baseball career, Burns has given up 93 hits while he has totaled 155 strikeouts in 118 innings pitched. He has allowed 40 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.116 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.0. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.97 and he has faced 485 hitters during his pro baseball career. Burns (7-4 career mark) has a 3.04 earned run average while allowing 7.1 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-145)

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