New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 6/17/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Wednesday, June 17, 2026

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Reds.TV

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-182) Cincinnati (+150)

The New York Mets (32-40) are on their way to Great American Ball Park on Wednesday where they will attempt to beat the Cincinnati Reds (34-37). The line on this contest has the Mets at -182 and the Reds are opening at +150. The over/under is 8. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Nolan McLean and Nick Lodolo.

The Mets have hit 92 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 76 baseballs out of the stadium. New York has a slugging rate of .369 and have struck out 592 times, while taking a walk on 205 occasions. As a unit, the New York Mets are scoring 4.0 runs/g, which puts them at 27th in baseball. They have accrued 274 RBI's as well as 551 base knocks over the course of the season, and their average at the plate is sitting at .229. They have tallied 288 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .295.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 2.51 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.27. Mets pitchers have yielded 70 home runs in addition to 311 total runs (14th in the league). New York has given up 562 base hits (7.9 per 9 innings) in addition to 284 earned runs. The Mets hold a team ERA of 3.96 this year (11th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 650 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 259 batters and their FIP comes in at 3.85 as a team so far this year.

Mets pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 76 times as well as having 88 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have accumulated 27 holds on the campaign (28th in the league). The Mets relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 57.1% and stepped onto the hill in 48 save situations. They have earned 12 saves so far this season and have missed out on 9 of their 21 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 99 runners for the season with 32.3% of those players crossing home plate. The Mets have sent 218 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season.

The Mets have converted 70.4% of baseballs in play into outs in their 5,802 innings on the field, which ranks them 12th in baseball. The New York Mets have accounted for 1,934 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 590 assists and 37 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .986 which has them sitting 20th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 39 double plays.

McLean has pitched in 124 innings and has accumulated 145 K's thus far in his career. McLean (8-5 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 3.21 and he has gone up against 505 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.26 (45 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.104. He has surrendered 90 base knocks (6.5 hits per 9 innings) and has had 47 walks.

Cincinnati has hit 92 HRs so far this year and 287 RBIs. They have tallied 109 doubles, while getting a free base 277 times and putting up 305 runs. The Cincinnati Reds have a team OBP of .313 as well as a batting average of .229 over the course of the season. The Reds have a slugging percentage of .396 and they have an average of 4.30 runs per contest (17th in the league). They have struck out on 657 occasions (3rd in baseball) and have notched a total of 547 base knocks.

The Reds have a team WHIP of 1.462 with a FIP of 5.05 as a staff so far this year. They rank 22nd in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 603. The Cincinnati pitching staff have surrendered 351 runs this year while holding an ERA of 4.61 (325 earned runs given up). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 7.90 (558 strikeouts vs 324 bases on balls). They have given up 98 HR's and they give up 4.98 runs per 9 innings (23rd in MLB).

Cincinnati relievers have an inherited score percentage of 27.2% out of their 114 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 91 times in high leverage situations and on 81 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 76 save situations, the Reds have 44 holds and also 15 blown saves. They sit at 26th in the league with a save rate of 51.6%, and they have dispatched 262 relief pitchers onto the field on the campaign.

In 5,706 innings on the field, the Reds are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 70.7% (9th in the majors). The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 54 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (18th in baseball). The Reds have accrued 582 assists, 35 errors and have a tally of 1,902 putouts over the course of the season.

Lodolo (26-23 mark in his career) has a 4.17 earned run average and has allowed 8.4 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.68 and he has faced 1,913 hitters during his pro baseball career. He has allowed a total of 207 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.232 and a FIP of 4.1. During his pro baseball career, Lodolo has conceded 419 base knocks while he has accumulated 486 punch outs in 447 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-182)

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