New York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 8/5/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Wednesday, August 5, 2026

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-128) Cleveland (+106)

The Cleveland Guardians (57-56) will compete against the New York Mets (47-66) at Progressive Field on Wednesday. The moneyline on this game has New York at -128 while Cleveland is priced at +106. The over/under is 8.5. The men taking the mound are Nolan McLean and Slade Cecconi.

The Mets have hit 139 doubles as a squad and have knocked 131 balls out of the park. New York has a slugging % of .380 and have been called out on strikes 953 times, while taking a walk on 360 occasions. As a team, the New York Mets are putting up 4.0 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 27th in MLB. They have accounted for 435 RBI's and 880 base knocks over the course of the season, while their average at the plate sits at .232. They have accumulated 457 runs while having a team OBP of .303.

Get all of our MLB Picks Today

Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.60 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.29. Mets pitchers have conceded 124 home runs and also 515 runs (19th in MLB). New York has yielded 906 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) in addition to 459 earned runs. The Mets have compiled a team earned run average of 4.10 over the course of the season (14th in MLB), and they have struck out 1,017 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 391 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.00 as a squad for the year.

The Mets relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 59.4% and have stepped onto the mound in 74 save situations. They have earned 19 saves for the year and have blown 13 of 32 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 146 base runners this year with 29.5% of those players ended up scoring. Mets pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 106 times in addition to having 115 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have dispatched 345 relievers to the hill this year. The relievers have a total of 42 holds for the year (27th in the league).

The New York Mets have a tally of 3,020 putouts thus far, as well as 913 assists and 75 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .981 which puts them in 29th in baseball, and they have turned 67 double plays. The Mets have converted 69.5% of balls in play into outs out of 9,060 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 19th in pro baseball.

McLean has taken the ball for 173 innings and has 205 strikeouts during his MLB career. His earned run average is 2.96 (57 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.103. He has surrendered 130 hits (6.8 hits per 9 innings) with 61 walks. McLean (12-8 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 2.92 and he has gone up against 710 hitters in the majors.

The Cleveland Guardians have compiled an on-base percentage of .310 and a team batting average of .231 over the course of the season. They have struck out on 936 instances (17th in the league) and have earned a total of 862 base hits. Cleveland has hit 109 home runs for the year as well as 428 RBIs. The Guardians hold a team SLG% of .370 and they are earning 3.95 runs per outing (29th in baseball). They have recorded 169 doubles, while walking 405 times and earning 446 runs.

The Guardians hold a team WHIP of 1.262 in addition to having a FIP of 3.84 as a team on the campaign. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.40 (1,041 strikeouts against 367 free passes). They come in at 10th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 897. They have given up 124 home runs and they surrender 4.15 runs per 9 innings (8th in the league). The Cleveland pitching staff have relinquished 462 runs over the course of the season while having an ERA of 3.76 (418 earned runs surrendered).

Cleveland bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 27.1% out of 177 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 137 times in high leverage situations in addition to 114 occasions with runners on. With 134 save situations, the Guardians have 87 holds and also 11 blown saves. They sit at 4th in MLB holding a save percentage of 75.6%, and they have dispatched 383 bullpen pitchers onto the field this season.

The Cleveland Guardians have turned 75 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in professional baseball). The Guardians have recorded 882 assists, 60 errors and have accounted for 3,005 putouts for the season. In their 9,015 innings on the field, the Guardians have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (20th in the majors).

During his pro baseball career, Cecconi has surrendered 367 base hits and he has 277 K's in 343 frames. Cecconi (13-22 career mark) has earned a 4.98 ERA and has allowed 9.6 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 190 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.326 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.9. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.15 and he has faced 1,467 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cleveland (+106)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get MLB picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.