New York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 8/6/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Thursday, August 6, 2026

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-145) Cleveland (+125)

The New York Mets (48-66) are headed to Progressive Field on Thursday where they will take on the Cleveland Guardians (57-57). The moneyline on this game has the Mets at -145 and the Guardians are priced at +125. The total is set at 8. The expected starting pitchers will be Nolan McLean and Foster Griffin.

The Mets have hit 140 doubles as a team and have smacked 134 baseballs out of the park. New York is slugging .381 and have been called out on strikes 962 times, while being walked on 363 occasions. As a team, the New York Mets are compiling 4.1 runs per outing, which has them at 27th in the league. They have recorded 441 runs batted in in addition to 889 base knocks for the season, while their average at the plate is at .233. They are sitting with 463 runs scored while having a team OBP of .303.

Get all of our MLB Expert Picks

Their K/BB ratio is 2.57 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.29. Mets pitchers have conceded 124 long balls in addition to 517 runs in total (19th in the league). New York has relinquished 913 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) in addition to 461 earned runs. The Mets have a team earned run average of 4.09 so far this season (14th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 1,025 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 399 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.00 as a team on the campaign.

The Mets bullpen have accumulated a save rate of 59.4% and have stepped onto the mound in 76 save situations. They have recorded 19 saves so far this season and have blown 13 of their 32 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 148 base runners on the season and 29.1% of them ended up crossing the plate. Mets relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 107 times as well as having 116 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have sent 348 relievers to the mound this year. The relief pitchers have earned 44 holds for the year (27th in baseball).

The Mets have transformed 69.5% of balls hit into play into outs in their 9,141 innings on the diamond, ranking them 19th in professional baseball. The New York Mets have notched a total of 3,047 putouts so far this season, in addition to 922 assists and 76 errors. Their fielding rate is at .981 which has them sitting 29th in MLB, and have accumulated 70 double plays.

McLean has taken the ball for 173 frames and has earned 205 punch outs so far in his MLB career. His earned run average is 2.96 (57 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.103. He has conceded 130 base knocks (6.8 hits per 9 innings) and has had 61 walks. McLean (12-8 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 2.92 while he has gone up against 710 opposing hitters in the major leagues.

The Guardians hold a slugging percentage of .369 and they are recording 3.93 runs per contest (29th in the league). They have put up 171 doubles, while taking a walk 413 times and earning 448 runs. Cleveland has tallied 109 home runs for the year as well as 430 RBIs. They have been rung up on 944 occasions (16th in the league) and have earned 870 base hits. The Cleveland Guardians have compiled a team on-base percentage of .311 in addition to a team batting average of .231 this year.

The Guardians hold a team WHIP of 1.263 in addition to having a FIP of 3.87 as a squad over the course of the season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.40 (1,050 strikeouts vs 370 walks). They have a ranking of 11th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 906. They have yielded 127 home runs and they yield 4.17 runs per 9 innings (8th in baseball). The Cleveland pitching staff have given up 468 runs on the year and come in with a team ERA of 3.75 (421 earned runs relinquished).

They are currently ranked 4th in baseball with a save percentage of 75.6%, and they have sent 385 relievers onto the field so far this season. Their relief pitchers have come in 137 times in high leverage situations and on 114 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 134 save situations, the Guardians have amassed 87 holds and also 11 blown saves. Cleveland has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 45 save opportunities and they have earned 34 saves. Cleveland relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 27.1% out of 177 inherited base runners.

The Cleveland Guardians have gotten 77 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .985 (19th in professional baseball). The Guardians have 890 assists, 61 errors and have earned 3,032 putouts so far this season. In 9,096 innings on the field, the Guardians have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 69.4% (21st in professional baseball).

In his career, Griffin has allowed 116 base hits while tallying 121 strikeouts in 137 innings. He has given up a total of 50 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.101 and having a FIP of 3.2. His K/BB ratio is 3.46 and he has faced 562 batters in his career. Griffin (13-3 career mark) has a 3.28 ERA while allowing 7.6 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-145)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get MLB picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.