New York Mets vs Colorado Rockies Prediction, 5/4/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Colorado Rockies

Date: Monday, May 4, 2026

Location: Coors Field in Denver, CO

TV: Rockies.TV

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-130) Colorado (+110)

The Colorado Rockies (14-20) host the New York Mets (11-22) at Coors Field on Monday. The odds on this game have New York at -130 and Colorado is priced at +110. The total is 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be David Peterson and Tomoyuki Sugano.

New York has a slugging rate of .341 and have struck out 261 times, while drawing a walk on 95 occasions. They have earned 106 runs batted in in addition to 251 hits this year, and their batting average is .227. The Mets have earned 44 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 25 baseballs out of the stadium. They have tallied 113 runs and have an on-base percentage of .289. As a team, the New York Mets are putting up 3.4 runs/g, which puts them at 29th in the league.

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The Mets have an earned run average of 4.06 for the season (14th in the league), and the staff has rung up 311 hitters. Mets pitchers have given up 30 home runs and 148 total runs (15th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 116 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.65 as a unit for the year. New York has conceded 264 base knocks (8.0 per 9 innings) and also 134 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.68 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.28.

The Mets bullpen have compiled a save rate of 37.5% and have come into the game in 18 save situations. They have compiled 3 saves over the course of the season and have missed out on 5 of their 8 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 45 base runners on the year with 44.4% of those runners earned a run for their team. Mets bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 33 times and also have had 43 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have sent 96 relievers to the mound for the year. The bullpen have racked up 10 holds on the season (29th in the league).

The Mets have converted 69.4% of balls in play into outs in their 2,673 innings, which ranks them 19th in professional baseball. The New York Mets have 891 putouts on the year, in addition to 282 assists and 16 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .987 which puts them in 11th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 18 double plays.

Peterson has taken the hill for 652 innings and has 643 strikeouts in his MLB career. Peterson (37-34 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 4.17 and he has gone up against 2,815 batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.24 (307 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.390. He has conceded 631 hits (8.7 hits per nine innings) and has had 276 free passes.

The Rockies have a SLG% of .395 and they earn 4.24 runs per contest (22nd in the league). They have recorded 64 two-baggers, while walking 104 times and scoring 144 runs. Colorado is sitting with 32 home runs this season to go along with 139 RBIs. They have struck out on 322 instances (2nd in the league) and have earned a total of 288 base knocks. The Colorado Rockies have accounted for an OBP of .320 and a batting average of .251 this season.

The Colorado pitching staff have surrendered 161 runs on the year while holding a team ERA of 4.42 (147 earned runs yielded). They have allowed 46 long balls and they relinquish 4.84 runs per 9 innings (21st in baseball). The Rockies have a WHIP of 1.391 and have a FIP of 4.64 as a pitching staff this season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 7.90 (263 strikeouts against 109 walks). They have a ranking of 27th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 307.

Colorado bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 18.0% of 50 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 32 times in high leverage situations and also on 31 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 29 save situations, the Rockies have amassed 15 holds in addition to 4 blown saves. They rank 6th in the league holding a save percentage of 71.4%, and they have sent 97 relievers onto the diamond on the year.

The Colorado Rockies have gotten 28 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (24th in pro baseball). The Rockies have racked up 289 assists, 19 errors and have accounted for 898 putouts so far this year. Out of their 2,694 innings played, the Rockies have a defensive efficiency of 68.6% (25th in pro baseball).

So far in his pro baseball career, Sugano has allowed 201 hits while he has tallied 127 punch outs in 188 frames. Sugano (13-11 career mark) has a 4.35 ERA while surrendering 9.6 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered 91 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.307 and having a FIP of 4.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.82 and he has gone up against 806 batters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-130)

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