New York Mets vs Colorado Rockies Prediction, 5/5/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Colorado Rockies

Date: Tuesday, May 5, 2026

Location: Coors Field in Denver, CO

TV: Rockies.TV

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-122) Colorado (+102)

The New York Mets (12-22) are headed to Coors Field on Tuesday where they will try to beat the Colorado Rockies (14-21). The line on this matchup has New York at -122 while Colorado is priced at +102. The total is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Freddy Peralta and Michael Lorenzen.

The Mets have tallied 45 doubles as a team and have knocked 27 baseballs out of the park. New York has a slugging percentage of .343 and have been rung up 270 times, while drawing a walk on 99 occasions. As a unit, the New York Mets are notching 3.5 runs per game, which puts them at 29th in MLB. They have tallied 111 runs batted in in addition to 258 hits on the campaign, and their team batting average is at .227. They have tallied 118 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .290.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.71 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.27. Mets pitchers have conceded 30 home runs and also 149 total runs (15th in baseball). New York has given up 270 base knocks (7.9 per 9 innings) and also 135 earned runs. The Mets have a team earned run average of 3.97 over the course of the season (13th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 322 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 119 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.59 as a team on the year.

The Mets relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 37.5% and have entered the game in 19 save situations. They have accumulated 3 saves on the campaign and have not converted 5 out of their 8 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 46 base runners on the season and 43.5% of those players earned a run for their team. Mets bullpen pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 34 times in addition to having 44 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have dispatched 98 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have tallied 11 holds so far this year (28th in MLB).

The New York Mets have earned a total of 918 putouts this year, as well as 290 assists and 17 errors. Their fielding rate is at .986 which puts them in 16th in baseball, and have accumulated 20 double plays. The Mets have converted 69.3% of balls hit into play into outs in their 2,754 innings, which has them sitting at 21st in the majors.

Peralta (71-45 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 3.53 while he has gone up against 4,017 hitters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 724 hits (6.7 hits per nine innings) with 376 walks. His ERA is 3.58 (386 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.135. Peralta has taken the mound for 969 innings and has tallied 1,195 K's so far in his career.

Colorado has compiled 35 home runs this season to go along with 145 RBIs. They have put up 64 doubles, while taking a walk 110 times as well as scoring 150 runs. The Colorado Rockies have an OBP of .323 and a batting average of .253 on the campaign. The Rockies hold a team slugging % of .402 and they score 4.29 runs per game (18th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 335 occasions (2nd in MLB) and are sitting with 299 hits.

The Rockies have a WHIP of 1.415 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.68 as a team for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 7.90 (272 strikeouts against 115 bases on balls). They rank 28th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 321. They have yielded 48 home runs and they surrender 5.02 runs per 9 innings (24th in baseball). The Colorado pitching staff have given up 172 runs on the campaign while holding an ERA of 4.62 (158 earned runs relinquished).

With 29 save situations, the Rockies have accumulated 15 holds and also 4 blown saves. Colorado has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 14 save opportunities and they have walked away with 10 saves. Colorado relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 18.9% out of their 53 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 33 times in high leverage situations and also on 32 occasions with runners on. They are currently ranked 6th in MLB holding a save percentage of 71.4%, and they have dispatched 100 relievers to the mound this year.

Out of their 2,775 innings on the field, the Rockies have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 68.3% (25th in MLB). The Colorado Rockies have gotten 29 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .985 (23rd in baseball). The Rockies have recorded 299 assists, 19 errors and have amassed 925 putouts so far this year.

Lorenzen (56-58 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a 4.15 ERA while giving up 8.5 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.15 and he has faced 4,378 batters in his MLB career. He has conceded a total of 475 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.328 and having a FIP of 4.1. So far in his MLB career, Lorenzen has surrendered 972 hits while tallying 850 punch outs in 1,030 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-122)

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