New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 5/22/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins

Date: Friday, May 22, 2026

Location: LoanDepot Park in Miami, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-160) Miami (+132)

The Miami Marlins (22-28) will try to beat the New York Mets (21-28) at LoanDepot Park on Friday. The line on this matchup has New York at -160 and Miami is coming in at +132. The total comes in at 8. The pitchers expected to start will be Freddy Peralta and Eury Perez.

The Mets have tallied 67 doubles as a team and have hit 45 baseballs out of the stadium. New York has a slugging % of .361 and have been called out on strikes 381 times, while drawing a walk on 147 occasions. As a team, the New York Mets are notching 4.1 runs per outing, which has them at 21st in the league. They have compiled 192 runs batted in as well as 384 hits for the season, while their batting average is .232. They have a total of 202 runs and have an OBP of .297.

Get all of our Free MLB Picks

Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.56 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.29. Mets pitchers have relinquished 43 home runs and 216 total runs (13th in MLB). New York has conceded 391 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and also 192 earned runs. The Mets have a team earned run average of 3.91 this year (11th in baseball), and they have struck out 460 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 180 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.67 as a unit so far this year.

Mets bullpen pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 54 times in addition to having 64 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen are sitting with 15 holds on the campaign (28th in MLB). The Mets bullpen have recorded a save rate of 53.8% and stepped onto the hill in 28 save situations. They have accumulated 7 saves so far this season and have not converted 6 out of their 13 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 71 runners for the season with 36.6% of those runners crossing the plate. The Mets have dispatched 145 relievers to the mound this season.

The Mets have turned 69.3% of balls in play into outs out of 3,978 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 22nd in baseball. The New York Mets have a total of 1,326 putouts on the year, in addition to 403 assists and 27 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .985 which ranks 23rd in baseball, and have 29 double plays.

Peralta (73-45 mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.52 while going up against 4,086 opposing batters in the major leagues. He has conceded 737 base knocks (6.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 385 walks. His earned run average is 3.57 (391 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.139. Peralta has pitched in 985 innings and has earned 1,207 strikeouts in his career.

The Miami Marlins hold a team OBP of .322 in addition to a batting average of .246 for the year. They have struck out on 406 instances (20th in the league) and have 408 base hits. Miami is sitting with 39 HRs so far this year to go along with 207 runs batted in. The Marlins have a slugging percentage of .375 and they tally 4.36 runs per game (16th in the league). They have tallied 77 two-baggers, while taking a walk 168 times and recording 218 runs.

The Marlins hold a team WHIP of 1.296 with a FIP of 3.94 as a unit so far this year. They rank 8th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 379. The Miami pitching staff have surrendered 231 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 4.30 (210 earned runs surrendered). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.50 (416 strikeouts vs 190 free passes). They have conceded 44 homers and they surrender 4.73 runs per 9 innings (22nd in MLB).

They rank 22nd in MLB with a save percentage of 57.1%, and they have sent 153 bullpen pitchers to the mound over the course of the season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 44 times in high leverage situations and on 36 occasions with runners on base. With 45 save situations, the Marlins have earned 23 holds and 9 blown saves. Miami has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 21 save chances and they have converted 12 saves. Miami relievers have an inherited score percentage of 25.0% out of their 52 inherited base runners.

The Miami Marlins have gotten 33 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .980 (29th in pro baseball). The Marlins have accrued 401 assists, 35 errors and have earned 1,319 putouts this year. In 3,957 innings played, the Marlins have a defensive efficiency of 70.5% (12th in MLB).

Perez (14-18 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 4.08 earned run average while giving up 7.0 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.98 and he has faced 989 batters in his career. He has surrendered 108 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.162 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.0. During his MLB career, Perez has surrendered 186 hits while totaling 271 K's in 238 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-160)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get MLB picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.