New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 5/23/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins

Date: Saturday, May 23, 2026

Location: LoanDepot Park in Miami, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-196) Miami (+162)

The New York Mets (22-28) are hitting the road to LoanDepot Park on Saturday where they will play the Miami Marlins (22-29). The moneyline on this matchup has the Mets at -196 while the Marlins are priced at +162. The total has been set at 9. The pitchers expected to start will be Freddy Peralta and Max Meyer.

New York is slugging .358 and have been called out on strikes 393 times, while taking a walk on 149 occasions. They have compiled 194 runs batted in as well as 391 base knocks this year, and their average at the plate sits at .232. The Mets have tallied 67 doubles as a unit and have hit 45 baseballs out of the park. They are sitting with 204 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .297. As a team, the New York Mets are notching 4.1 runs per game, which puts them at 22nd in the league.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.54 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.29. Mets pitchers have surrendered 43 long balls and also 217 runs in total (12th in MLB). New York has allowed 396 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) as well as 193 earned runs. The Mets have an ERA of 3.85 so far this year (10th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 467 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 184 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 3.65 as a team on the season.

Mets relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 54 times and also have had 68 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have tallied 18 holds this season (27th in baseball). The Mets bullpen have earned a save rate of 57.1% and stepped onto the hill in 32 save situations. They have recorded 8 saves for the year and have not converted 6 of their 14 save chances. The relievers have inherited 71 base runners on the year with 36.6% of them crossing home plate. The Mets have sent 149 relievers to the hill so far this season.

The New York Mets have accounted for 1,353 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 415 assists and 28 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .984 which has them ranked 23rd in baseball, and they have turned 29 double plays. The Mets have turned 69.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of 4,059 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 22nd in baseball.

Peralta has taken the ball for 985 frames and is sitting with 1,207 strikeouts in his career. His ERA is 3.57 (391 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.139. He has given up 737 hits (6.7 hits per nine innings) with 385 walks. Peralta (73-45 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.52 while he has gone up against 4,086 batters in the majors.

The Marlins have a team SLG% of .376 and they are scoring 4.33 runs per game (16th in baseball). They have 77 doubles, while getting a free base 170 times and putting up 221 runs. Miami has compiled 42 HRs so far this year and 210 RBIs. They have struck out on 419 occasions (14th in the league) and have a total of 413 base knocks. The Miami Marlins have recorded an OBP of .320 as well as a team batting average of .244 this year.

The Marlins hold a team WHIP of 1.301 with a FIP of 3.99 as a squad for the year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.50 (425 strikeouts vs 191 free passes). They come in at 11th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 392. They have given up 47 home runs and they concede 4.82 runs per 9 innings (24th in the league). The Miami pitching staff have allowed 240 runs for the year while having a team ERA of 4.40 (219 earned runs yielded).

With 45 save situations, the Marlins have accrued 23 holds and 9 blown saves. Miami has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 21 save chances and they have tallied 12 saves. Miami relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 25.0% of 52 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 44 times in high leverage situations and on 36 occasions with base runners. They are currently ranked 23rd in baseball holding a save percentage of 57.1%, and they have dispatched 155 bullpen pitchers to the hill on the season.

The Miami Marlins have turned 34 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .980 (29th in MLB). The Marlins have recorded 412 assists, 35 errors and have notched a total of 1,346 putouts for the season. Out of their 4,038 innings played, the Marlins have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (16th in pro baseball).

So far in his pro baseball career, Meyer has surrendered 182 base knocks while he has totaled 180 strikeouts in 180 frames. Meyer (10-11 career win-loss record) is the owner of a 4.59 earned run average and has surrendered 9.1 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded a total of 92 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.341 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.00 and he has faced 784 opposing batters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami (+162)

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