New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 9/7/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins

Date: Monday, September 7, 2026

Location: LoanDepot Park in Miami, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-152) Miami (+126)

The Miami Marlins (71-72) will try to defeat the New York Mets (64-78) at LoanDepot Park on Monday. The moneyline on this contest has New York at -152 and Miami is coming in at +126. The over/under is 8. The pitchers who are expected to start are Jonah Tong and Eury Perez.

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The Mets have tallied 180 doubles as a team and have knocked 174 balls out of the park. New York has a slugging % of .390 and have been called out on strikes 1,204 times, while drawing a walk on 451 occasions. As a team, the New York Mets are scoring 4.2 runs per game, which has them at 25th in MLB. They have compiled 564 runs batted in as well as 1,125 base knocks on the season, and their average at the plate is at .236. They have notched a total of 592 runs and hold an OBP of .306.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.52 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.31. Mets pitchers have given up 160 long balls in addition to 642 total runs (18th in the league). New York has yielded 1,149 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) as well as 581 earned runs. The Mets have a team ERA of 4.13 for the year (14th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,264 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 502 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.10 as a squad on the year.

Mets relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 131 times and also have had 147 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have notched 63 holds for the season (26th in baseball). The Mets relievers have a save percentage of 60.5% and have entered the game in 110 save situations. They have tallied 26 saves for the season and have blown 17 out of their 43 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 184 base runners over the course of the season with 27.2% of those runners ended up scoring. The Mets have sent 440 relievers to the hill so far this year.

The Mets have turned 69.6% of balls hit into play into outs in their 11,382 innings, which has them sitting at 16th in pro baseball. The New York Mets have amassed 3,794 putouts on the campaign, as well as 1,120 assists and 86 errors. Their fielding rate is at .983 which has them sitting 25th in pro baseball, and have a total of 86 double plays.

Tong (3-4 career mark) holds a FIP of 6.29 while he has gone up against 134 batters in the majors. He has conceded 32 base knocks (10.2 hits per nine innings) and has had 16 walks. His earned run average is 6.38 (20 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.702. Tong has taken the ball for 28 frames and has racked up 29 strikeouts in his career.

Miami has tallied 146 long balls over the course of the season to go along with 592 RBIs. They have put up 221 two-baggers, while walking 493 times and racking up 621 runs. The Miami Marlins have an on-base percentage of .325 as well as a batting average of .247 on the year. The Marlins hold a slugging % of .398 and they average 4.34 runs per contest (20th in the league). They have struck out on 1,174 occasions (17th in baseball) and have tallied 1,172 hits.

The Marlins are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.263 and have a FIP of 4.06 as a squad over the course of the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.30 (1,158 strikeouts vs 486 walks). They come in at 6th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,099. They have surrendered 143 HR's and they surrender 4.40 runs per 9 innings (12th in MLB). The Miami pitching staff have given up 613 runs over the course of the season while holding a team ERA of 3.99 (556 earned runs relinquished).

Sitting with 133 save situations, the Marlins have 81 holds in addition to 19 blown saves. Miami has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 50 save opportunities and they have recorded 31 saves. Miami bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 25.4% of 181 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 137 times in high leverage situations in addition to 128 occasions with runners on. They rank 16th in MLB with a save rate of 62.0%, and they have dispatched 466 relievers onto the field this year.

The Miami Marlins have turned 102 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .982 (26th in MLB). The Marlins have 1,197 assists, 90 errors and have earned 3,767 putouts this year. In their 11,301 innings played, the Marlins hold a defensive efficiency of 70.8% (9th in baseball).

Perez (19-22 career win-loss record) has earned a 3.73 ERA while conceding 6.8 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.93 and he has faced 1,315 opposing hitters in his MLB career. He has surrendered a total of 133 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.130 and a FIP of 3.7. In his MLB career, Perez has conceded 241 base knocks while he has tallied 358 K's in 321 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-152)

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