New York Mets vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 9/9/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins

Date: Wednesday, September 9, 2026

Location: LoanDepot Park in Miami, FL

TV: MLB.TV

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-160) Miami (+132)

LoanDepot Park is the site where the Miami Marlins (72-73) will take on the New York Mets (66-78) on Wednesday. The moneyline on this game has the Mets at -160 while the Marlins are coming in at +132. The over/under has been set at 9. The starting pitchers are Robert Stock and Janson Junk.

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As a team, the New York Mets are putting up 4.2 runs per outing, which puts them at 23rd in the league. They are sitting with 605 runs scored and hold an OBP of .307. The Mets have accumulated 185 doubles as a squad and have knocked 176 balls out of the park. They have compiled 575 RBI's and 1,148 hits on the season, and their batting average comes in at .237. New York has a slugging % of .392 and have been called out on strikes 1,218 times, while drawing a walk on 459 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.56 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.30. Mets pitchers have yielded 161 home runs in addition to 648 runs in total (18th in MLB). New York has allowed 1,161 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and 587 earned runs. The Mets are sitting with a team ERA of 4.12 on the campaign (15th in baseball), and they have rung up 1,288 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 504 hitters and their FIP is 4.07 as a team so far this year.

The Mets have dispatched 448 relief pitchers to the mound this year. The relievers have inherited 186 base runners over the course of the season and 26.9% of them ended up crossing the plate. The relief pitchers have a total of 63 holds on the year (27th in MLB). Mets bullpen pitchers have entered the game with players on base 132 times in addition to having 149 appearances in high leverage situations. They have recorded 27 saves so far this year and have blown 17 out of their 44 save opportunities. The Mets relievers have compiled a save rate of 61.4% and have come into the game in 111 save situations.

The New York Mets have accumulated 3,848 putouts this season, in addition to 1,128 assists and 87 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .983 which puts them in 24th in MLB, and they have turned 87 double plays. The Mets have converted 69.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of 11,544 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 17th in MLB.

Stock has taken the ball for 101 frames and has totaled 102 punch outs thus far in his career. Stock (3-7 career mark) sits with a FIP of 5.08 while he has faced 471 hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 5.16 (58 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.690. He has given up 114 base hits (10.1 hits per 9 innings) and has 57 free passes.

The Miami Marlins have earned an OBP of .326 as well as a batting average of .247 so far this year. They have been rung up on 1,191 occasions (17th in the league) and have recorded 1,189 hits. Miami has recorded 149 home runs on the campaign to go along with 606 runs batted in. The Marlins hold a slugging % of .399 and they average 4.38 runs per contest (20th in baseball). They have 221 doubles, while walking 501 times as well as recording 635 runs.

The Miami pitching staff have allowed 625 runs for the season while holding a team ERA of 4.00 (566 earned runs yielded). They have yielded 144 home runs and they surrender 4.42 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league). The Marlins have a team WHIP of 1.270 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.05 as a staff for the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.30 (1,173 strikeouts against 495 free passes). They come in at 7th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 1,122.

Miami relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 25.4% of 181 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 137 times in high leverage situations and on 128 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 133 save situations, the Marlins have earned 81 holds and 19 blown saves. They are currently ranked 16th in the league with a save percentage of 62.0%, and they have sent 473 relievers onto the field this year.

The Miami Marlins have gotten 104 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .982 (28th in the majors). The Marlins have 1,220 assists, 92 errors and have earned a total of 3,821 putouts so far this year. In 11,463 innings on the field, the Marlins are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 70.6% (11th in pro baseball).

Junk (13-16 career record) has earned a 4.50 earned run average and has surrendered 9.8 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.49 and he has gone up against 1,089 opposing batters during his MLB career. He has given up a total of 129 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.295 and having a FIP of 4.4. In his pro baseball career, Junk has conceded 281 hits while earning 185 strikeouts in 258 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-160)

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