New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 7/20/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Monday, July 20, 2026

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Brewers.TV

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+110) Milwaukee (-132)

American Family Field is the location where the Milwaukee Brewers (61-37) will take on the New York Mets (41-58) on Monday. The moneyline on this contest has the Mets at +110 and the Brewers are opening at -132. The over/under comes in at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Freddy Peralta and Jacob Misiorowski.

New York is slugging .380 and have been called out on strikes 816 times, while being walked on 307 occasions. They have tallied 384 RBI's and 771 base knocks this season, while their average at the plate is sitting at .232. The Mets have tallied 121 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 116 baseballs out of the park. They have accounted for 403 runs and have an on-base percentage of .302. As a squad, the New York Mets are notching 4.1 runs per game, which has them sitting at 26th in baseball.

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The Mets hold a team ERA of 4.26 so far this year (17th in the league), and their staff has struck out 904 batters. Mets pitchers have yielded 110 home runs and 470 total runs (22nd in baseball). They have walked 357 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.05 as a team on the year. New York has given up 800 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) as well as 418 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.53 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.31.

The Mets have dispatched 307 relievers to the mound for the year. The relievers have inherited 133 runners this season and 28.6% of those runners ended up scoring. The bullpen have earned 38 holds on the campaign (27th in baseball). Mets relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 98 times and also have had 107 appearances in high leverage situations. They have recorded 17 saves over the course of the season and have missed out on 13 out of their 30 chances to get a save. The Mets relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 56.7% and have entered the game in 68 save situations.

The Mets have converted 69.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of 7,944 innings, ranking them 22nd in professional baseball. The New York Mets have earned 2,648 putouts on the year, in addition to 804 assists and 69 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .980 which has them sitting 29th in the majors, and have accumulated 53 double plays.

Peralta has taken the ball for 1,035 frames and has totaled 1,257 K's in his career. His earned run average is 3.70 (425 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.163. He has surrendered 800 hits (7.0 hits per 9 innings) and has 404 free passes. Peralta (75-50 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 3.64 and he has faced 4,319 opposing batters in the major leagues.

The Brewers have a slugging percentage of .397 and they tally 5.09 runs per game (4th in the league). They have hit 180 doubles, while walking 412 times as well as recording 499 runs. Milwaukee has tallied 90 home runs so far this season and 473 runs batted in. They have struck out on 807 occasions (20th in the league) and have earned a total of 848 base hits. The Milwaukee Brewers are sitting with an OBP of .338 in addition to a batting average of .254 on the season.

The Brewers hold a team WHIP of 1.162 and have a FIP of 3.58 as a pitching staff on the year. They come in at 2nd in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 708. The Milwaukee pitching staff have yielded 370 runs on the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.48 (339 earned runs surrendered). Their K/BB ratio sits at 9.70 (950 strikeouts against 311 walks). They have surrendered 97 dingers and they surrender 3.80 runs per 9 innings (2nd in baseball).

Milwaukee relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 40.4% out of their 114 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 104 times in high leverage situations and on 80 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 94 save situations, the Brewers have 47 holds and also 15 blown saves. They are ranked 13th in baseball holding a save rate of 67.4%, and they have sent 301 bullpen pitchers to the mound this season.

The Milwaukee Brewers have gotten 73 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .988 (5th in MLB). The Brewers have racked up 759 assists, 40 errors and have earned 2,633 putouts over the course of the season. In 7,899 innings on the diamond, the Brewers have earned a defensive efficiency of 71.3% (6th in pro baseball).

During his MLB career, Misiorowski has allowed 108 hits while he has totaled 254 K's in 177 innings pitched. Misiorowski (15-7 career mark) has a 2.64 earned run average while giving up 5.5 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 52 ER's while earning a WHIP of 0.938 and being the owner of a FIP of 2.6. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.38 and he has gone up against 695 hitters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-132)

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