New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 7/22/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Wednesday, July 22, 2026

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Brewers.TV

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+125) Milwaukee (-150)

The Milwaukee Brewers (63-37) will try to defeat the New York Mets (42-59) at American Family Field on Wednesday. The odds on this game have the Mets at +125 while the Brewers are sitting at -150. The total comes in at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Christian Scott and Logan Henderson.

As a unit, the New York Mets are putting up 4.1 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 26th in MLB. They have racked up 412 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .303. The Mets have recorded 125 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 117 balls out of the stadium. They have recorded 392 RBI's and 791 base knocks on the year, and their team batting average comes in at .233. New York has a slugging rate of .380 and have struck out 839 times, while being walked on 318 occasions.

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The Mets have a team earned run average of 4.27 on the campaign (18th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 926 hitters. Mets pitchers have conceded 114 home runs and also 479 runs (21st in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 363 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.06 as a unit for the year. New York has allowed 816 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) as well as 427 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.55 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.31.

The Mets relief pitchers have a save percentage of 56.7% and have come into the game in 68 save situations. They have earned 17 saves on the year and have not converted 13 of 30 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 135 base runners on the campaign with 29.6% of them earned a run for their team. Mets pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 99 times in addition to having 107 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have sent 311 relievers to the hill for the season. The relief pitchers have notched 38 holds over the course of the season (27th in baseball).

The Mets have turned 69.3% of balls hit into play into outs in their 8,097 innings, which has them sitting 22nd in professional baseball. The New York Mets have 2,699 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 818 assists and 69 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .981 which has them sitting 29th in the majors, and they have turned 55 double plays.

Scott (3-4 mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.59 while he has faced 450 opposing batters in the majors. He has conceded 92 base knocks (7.8 hits per nine innings) with 38 free passes. His ERA is 3.64 (43 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.223. Scott has thrown 106 innings and has racked up 111 K's so far in his career.

The Milwaukee Brewers have tallied a team OBP of .337 in addition to a team batting average of .253 so far this season. They have been rung up on 827 occasions (18th in the league) and have recorded 862 base knocks. Milwaukee has knocked in 94 HRs this season as well as 484 RBIs. The Brewers hold a team SLG% of .399 and they average 5.10 runs per contest (4th in MLB). They have put up 184 two-baggers, while walking 419 times and earning 510 runs.

The Milwaukee pitching staff have allowed 374 runs this season while having an ERA of 3.44 (342 earned runs conceded). They have yielded 98 dingers and they surrender 3.76 runs per 9 innings (2nd in baseball). The Brewers have a team WHIP of 1.157 and have a FIP of 3.55 as a squad over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.80 (975 strikeouts vs 316 walks). They are currently ranked 2nd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 720.

Sitting with 94 save situations, the Brewers have amassed 47 holds in addition to 15 blown saves. Milwaukee has called on relievers to take the mound in 46 save opportunities and they have tallied 31 saves. Milwaukee relievers have an inherited score percentage of 40.4% of 114 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 104 times in high leverage situations and also on 80 occasions with runners on base. They are ranked 13th in MLB with a save percentage of 67.4%, and they have sent 307 bullpen pitchers onto the field for the season.

Out of their 8,061 innings on the diamond, the Brewers have earned a efficiency on defense of 71.3% (5th in pro baseball). The Milwaukee Brewers have gotten 74 double plays and have a fielding rate of .988 (5th in pro baseball). The Brewers have recorded 778 assists, 41 errors and have a tally of 2,687 putouts over the course of the season.

During his career, Henderson has allowed 41 base hits while he has earned 71 strikeouts in 58 innings pitched. Henderson (6-1 career win-loss mark) has a 2.47 earned run average and has given up 6.3 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 16 ER's while earning a WHIP of 0.962 and having a FIP of 2.4. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.73 and he has faced 227 batters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (+125)

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