New York Mets vs New York Yankees Prediction, 9/11/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs New York Yankees

Date: Friday, September 11, 2026

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+102) New York (-122)

The New York Yankees (83-62) will try to beat the New York Mets (68-78) at Yankee Stadium on Friday. The odds on this game have New York at +102 and New York is opening at -122. The total has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Nolan McLean and Carlos Rodon.

New York is slugging .394 and have struck out 1,232 times, while drawing a walk on 470 occasions. They have accounted for 598 runs batted in as well as 1,171 base knocks for the season, and their team batting average is sitting at .238. The Mets have accrued 189 doubles as a squad and have hit 181 balls out of the stadium. They have accumulated 627 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .309. As a team, the New York Mets are recording 4.3 runs per game, which is 21st in MLB.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.57 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.31. Mets pitchers have allowed 163 long balls and 667 runs in total (19th in MLB). New York has conceded 1,191 base knocks (8.2 per 9 innings) as well as 606 earned runs. The Mets have a team ERA of 4.19 on the campaign (17th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,304 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 508 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.06 as a unit for the year.

The Mets relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 61.7% and have entered the game in 117 save situations. They have accumulated 29 saves on the campaign and have blown 18 of their 47 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 192 base runners this year with 28.1% of them earned a run for their team. Mets pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 135 times and also have had 152 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have sent 458 relief pitchers to the hill on the season. The relief pitchers have a total of 66 holds this year (26th in MLB).

The Mets have turned 69.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 11,706 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 20th in baseball. The New York Mets have amassed 3,902 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 1,140 assists and 89 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .983 which is 25th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 88 double plays.

McLean (16-9 career record) sits with a FIP of 2.80 and he has gone up against 859 batters in the majors. He has allowed 154 hits (6.6 hits per nine innings) with 81 free passes. His ERA is 2.84 (66 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.123. McLean has pitched in 209 innings and is sitting with 236 K's in his career.

The Yankees hold a slugging percentage of .408 and they are earning 4.53 runs per contest (12th in the league). They have hit 209 two-baggers, while walking 522 times as well as earning 657 runs. New York has tallied 197 HRs on the campaign to go along with 626 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,335 occasions (5th in baseball) and are sitting with 1,119 hits. The New York Yankees have accumulated a team on-base percentage of .312 as well as a team batting average of .234 this season.

The Yankees are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.161 and have a FIP of 3.68 as a pitching staff on the year. They rank 2nd in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,071. The New York pitching staff have surrendered 533 runs for the year while holding a team ERA of 3.21 (462 earned runs given up). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.00 (1,301 strikeouts against 434 free passes). They have relinquished 146 long balls and they concede 3.70 runs per 9 innings (1st in baseball).

They rank 19th in baseball with a save rate of 60.3%, and they have sent 479 relievers to the mound so far this season. Their relief pitchers have come in 164 times in high leverage situations and on 168 occasions with runners on. With 151 save situations, the Yankees have amassed 81 holds and also 27 blown saves. New York has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 68 save opportunities and they have walked away with 41 saves. New York relievers hold an inherited score rate of 20.1% of 239 inherited base runners.

The New York Yankees have turned 109 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (20th in the majors). The Yankees have recorded 1,253 assists, 83 errors and have earned a total of 3,888 putouts on the season. Out of their 11,664 innings on the field, the Yankees have earned a defensive efficiency of 71.3% (6th in pro baseball).

So far in his pro baseball career, Rodon has allowed 1,126 base hits while he has tallied 1,479 punch outs in 1,346 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 554 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.216 and a FIP of 3.6. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.89 and he has gone up against 5,645 batters during his MLB career. Rodon (98-75 career mark) has earned a 3.70 earned run average and has surrendered 7.5 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take New York (-122) and under 8.5 runs

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