New York Mets vs New York Yankees Prediction, 9/12/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs New York Yankees

Date: Saturday, September 12, 2026

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+106) New York (-128)

The New York Yankees (84-62) will compete against the New York Mets (68-78) at Yankee Stadium on Saturday. The moneyline on this contest has New York at +106 while New York opens at -128. The total has been set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Zac Thornton and Gerrit Cole.

As a unit, the New York Mets are putting up 4.3 runs per game, which has them at 21st in the league. They have accounted for 627 runs scored and have an OBP of .309. The Mets have tallied 189 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 181 baseballs out of the stadium. They have compiled 598 RBI's as well as 1,171 hits so far this year, and their team batting average is sitting at .238. New York has a slugging rate of .394 and have struck out 1,232 times, while taking a walk on 470 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.57 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.31. Mets pitchers have relinquished 163 home runs and also 667 total runs (19th in the league). New York has allowed 1,191 hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and 606 earned runs. The Mets have a team ERA of 4.19 this season (17th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,304 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 508 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.06 as a team on the season.

Mets bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 135 times as well as having 151 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 66 holds so far this year (26th in the league). The Mets relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 61.7% and have entered the game in 117 save situations. They have earned 29 saves on the season and have blown 18 out of their 47 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 192 runners on the year and 28.1% of those players earned a run for their team. The Mets have sent 458 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign.

The Mets have converted 69.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of 11,706 innings, which has them sitting 20th in the majors. The New York Mets have 3,902 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 1,140 assists and 89 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .983 which has them ranked 25th in MLB, and have accumulated 88 double plays.

Thornton (3-5 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.49 while going up against 267 opposing batters in the majors. He has allowed 64 base knocks (8.7 hits per 9 innings) with 15 walks. His earned run average is 3.54 (26 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.195. Thornton has taken the mound for 66 innings and is sitting with 51 K's in his pro baseball career.

The New York Yankees have accumulated an OBP of .312 as well as a batting average of .234 over the course of the season. They have struck out on 1,340 instances (5th in baseball) and have earned a total of 1,130 base hits. New York has 199 long balls this season to go along with 636 RBIs. The Yankees hold a slugging % of .409 and they are earning 4.57 runs per game (9th in MLB). They have hit 211 two-baggers, while getting a free base 527 times as well as notching 667 runs.

The Yankees hold a team WHIP of 1.163 and have a FIP of 3.68 as a squad on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.10 (1,313 strikeouts vs 439 free passes). They come in at 2nd in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,079. They have conceded 147 homers and they yield 3.70 runs per 9 innings (1st in the league). The New York pitching staff have surrendered 536 runs for the season while having an ERA of 3.20 (464 earned runs conceded).

New York relievers have an inherited score rate of 20.3% out of 241 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 164 times in high leverage situations and also on 170 occasions with base runners. With 154 save situations, the Yankees have accumulated 83 holds and 27 blown saves. They are ranked 19th in the league holding a save rate of 60.3%, and they have sent 484 relief pitchers onto the field this year.

The New York Yankees have turned 109 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (20th in baseball). The Yankees have 1,259 assists, 85 errors and have a total of 3,915 putouts over the course of the season. In 11,745 innings on the diamond, the Yankees have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 71.3% (7th in baseball).

So far in his pro baseball career, Cole has surrendered 1,726 base hits and he has 2,364 punch outs in 2,065 innings pitched. Cole (161-88 win-loss mark in his career) has a 3.19 earned run average while allowing 7.5 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 732 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.089 and a FIP of 3.1. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.53 and he has gone up against 8,314 opposing hitters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-128)

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