New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 6/18/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Thursday, June 18, 2026

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+162) Philadelphia (-196)

The Philadelphia Phillies (39-33) will go up against the New York Mets (32-40) at Citizens Bank Park on Thursday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Mets at +162 while the Phillies are at -196. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Sean Manaea and Aaron Nola.

New York is slugging .369 and have struck out 592 times, while taking a walk on 205 occasions. They have compiled 274 runs batted in as well as 551 hits so far this year, and their average at the plate is sitting at .229. The Mets have accrued 92 doubles as a unit and have hit 76 baseballs out of the stadium. They have racked up 288 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .295. As a unit, the New York Mets are notching 4.0 runs per game, which ranks them 27th in the league.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.51 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.27. Mets pitchers have allowed 70 home runs and 311 runs in total (14th in the league). New York has conceded 562 base knocks (7.9 per 9 innings) and 284 earned runs. The Mets are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.96 this season (11th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 650 hitters. They have walked 259 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.85 as a team for the season.

The Mets relievers have earned a save percentage of 57.1% and have entered the game in 48 save situations. They have earned 12 saves so far this year and have blown 9 of their 21 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 99 runners this season and 32.3% of those runners crossing home plate. Mets relief pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 76 times and also have had 88 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have sent 218 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The bullpen have recorded 27 holds on the campaign (28th in the league).

The New York Mets have amassed 1,934 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 590 assists and 37 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .986 which ranks 20th in the majors, and have a total of 39 double plays. The Mets have converted 70.4% of balls in play into outs in their 5,802 innings, which has them ranked 12th in the majors.

Manaea has taken the mound for 1,294 frames and has 1,235 punch outs in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.11 (591 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.208. He has surrendered 1,199 hits (8.3 hits per nine innings) with 364 walks. Manaea (80-68 career win-loss record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.05 while he has faced 5,410 opposing hitters in the major leagues.

The Philadelphia Phillies have earned an OBP of .297 in addition to a batting average of .229 on the campaign. They have been rung up on 618 instances (10th in baseball) and are sitting with 550 hits. Philadelphia has 90 home runs so far this year as well as 285 runs batted in. The Phillies hold a team slugging % of .387 and they are earning 4.06 runs per contest (24th in MLB). They have recorded 93 two-baggers, while getting a free base 215 times as well as scoring 292 runs.

The Philadelphia pitching staff have surrendered 308 runs over the course of the season while holding a team ERA of 4.05 (288 earned runs given up). They have surrendered 75 dingers and they yield 4.33 runs per 9 innings (10th in MLB). The Phillies are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.298 in addition to having a FIP of 3.58 as a squad so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.50 (673 strikeouts vs 199 free passes). They come in at 26th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 632.

With 61 save situations, the Phillies have earned 30 holds in addition to 7 blown saves. Philadelphia has called on relief pitchers to enter the contest in 30 save opportunities and they have earned 23 saves. Philadelphia relievers have an inherited score percentage of 32.0% out of their 75 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 64 times in high leverage situations and also on 59 occasions with runners on. They rank 4th in MLB with a save percentage of 76.7%, and they have dispatched 237 relief pitchers to the mound for the year.

In 5,763 innings on the field, the Phillies have a efficiency on defense of 67.1% (29th in professional baseball). The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 43 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .987 (14th in professional baseball). The Phillies have accrued 616 assists, 34 errors and are sitting with 1,921 putouts this season.

So far in his career, Nola has surrendered 1,602 base knocks while totaling 1,947 K's in 1,785 innings. Nola (112-93 career win-loss mark) has a 3.91 earned run average while surrendering 8.1 hits per 9 innings. He has given up 776 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.162 and having a FIP of 3.9. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.12 and he has gone up against 7,348 opposing batters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (+162)

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