New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 6/21/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Sunday, June 21, 2026

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-145) Philadelphia (+125)

Citizens Bank Park is the location where the Philadelphia Phillies (40-35) will play the New York Mets (34-41) on Sunday. The odds on this game have the Mets at -145 and the Phillies are at +125. The over/under is 8. The expected starting pitchers will be Tobias Myers and Zack Wheeler.

The Mets have earned 95 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 79 baseballs out of the park. New York has a slugging % of .373 and have been rung up 616 times, while being walked on 217 occasions. As a team, the New York Mets are knocking in 4.1 runs per game, which ranks them 24th in MLB. They have amassed 292 RBI's and 584 hits over the course of the season, and their average at the plate comes in at .233. They are sitting with 306 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .298.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.54 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.27. Mets pitchers have allowed 72 home runs and 321 total runs (12th in baseball). New York has yielded 581 hits (7.8 per 9 innings) and 292 earned runs. The Mets have an earned run average of 3.92 so far this season (9th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 682 hitters. They have walked 269 opposing players and their FIP is 3.82 as a team this year.

The Mets relievers have earned a save rate of 59.1% and have entered the game in 51 save situations. They have recorded 13 saves for the season and have blown 9 out of their 22 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 100 base runners on the season and 32.0% of those runners crossing the plate. Mets pitchers have come into the game with players on base 77 times in addition to having 88 appearances in high leverage situations. The Mets have sent 228 relievers to the mound for the season. The relievers have 29 holds this season (28th in baseball).

The New York Mets have amassed 2,012 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 615 assists and 41 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .985 which is 20th in professional baseball, and they have turned 42 double plays. The Mets have converted 70.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 6,036 innings, ranking them 14th in baseball.

Myers has taken the hill for 222 innings and has earned 192 strikeouts in his career. Myers (10-10 career mark) holds a FIP of 3.51 while he has gone up against 934 batters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 3.56 (88 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.232. He has surrendered 213 base hits (8.6 hits per 9 innings) and has had 61 walks.

Philadelphia has knocked in 93 home runs this year to go along with 299 RBIs. They have 95 doubles, while taking a walk 223 times as well as recording 308 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies have an OBP of .298 and a team batting average of .229 on the campaign. The Phillies have a team slugging % of .387 and they are scoring 4.11 runs per outing (23rd in MLB). They have been rung up on 647 occasions (11th in baseball) and have a total of 574 hits.

The Philadelphia pitching staff have surrendered 328 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 4.10 (304 earned runs conceded). They have conceded 83 homers and they yield 4.43 runs per 9 innings (13th in the league). The Phillies have a WHIP of 1.307 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.67 as a team for the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.50 (703 strikeouts against 208 bases on balls). They have a ranking of 26th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 664.

Sitting with 61 save situations, the Phillies have tallied 30 holds in addition to 7 blown saves. Philadelphia has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 30 save opportunities and they have tallied 23 saves. Philadelphia bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 31.6% out of 76 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 65 times in high leverage situations in addition to 60 occasions with base runners. They are ranked 5th in baseball with a save percentage of 76.7%, and they have sent 249 relievers onto the diamond for the year.

In their 6,006 innings on the diamond, the Phillies have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 67.0% (29th in the majors). The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 44 double plays and have a fielding rate of .987 (15th in baseball). The Phillies have 635 assists, 36 errors and have accumulated 2,002 putouts so far this season.

In his pro baseball career, Wheeler has surrendered 1,513 base hits while he has accumulated 1,882 punch outs in 1,790 innings. Wheeler (119-76 career win-loss record) holds a 3.24 ERA while surrendering 7.6 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 644 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.127 and having a FIP of 3.2. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.73 and he has gone up against 7,322 hitters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-145)

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