New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 7/18/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Saturday, July 18, 2026

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+110) Philadelphia (-132)

The Philadelphia Phillies (54-44) will go up against the New York Mets (41-57) at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday. The odds on this game have New York at +110 while Philadelphia is sitting at -132. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The men taking the mound will be Sean Manaea and Jesus Luzardo.

As a squad, the New York Mets are earning 4.1 runs/g, which is 26th in baseball. They have 402 runs scored and hold an OBP of .303. The Mets have hit 121 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 115 balls out of the park. They have amassed 383 RBI's as well as 768 hits on the year, while their team batting average is .233. New York has a slugging % of .382 and have struck out 805 times, while taking a walk on 305 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.54 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.30. Mets pitchers have given up 108 home runs and 464 total runs (21st in MLB). New York has allowed 788 base hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and 412 earned runs. The Mets have a team earned run average of 4.24 on the year (18th in the league), and they have rung up 894 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 352 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.03 as a team on the campaign.

The Mets have dispatched 305 relievers to the hill this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 130 base runners on the season with 29.2% of them ended up crossing the plate. The bullpen have tallied 38 holds for the season (27th in baseball). Mets bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 96 times in addition to having 107 appearances in high leverage situations. They have compiled 17 saves for the year and have not converted 13 out of their 30 save opportunities. The Mets bullpen have earned a save rate of 56.7% and stepped onto the hill in 68 save situations.

The New York Mets have earned a total of 2,624 putouts on the campaign, as well as 799 assists and 66 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .981 which has them sitting 29th in the majors, and they have turned 53 double plays. The Mets have converted 69.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of 7,872 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 22nd in pro baseball.

Manaea (81-70 career mark) holds a FIP of 4.05 and he has faced 5,525 batters in the majors. He has allowed 1,225 hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and has had 371 free passes. His ERA is 4.11 (603 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.209. Manaea has thrown 1,320 frames and is sitting with 1,258 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career.

Philadelphia has a total of 125 home runs for the season to go along with 410 runs batted in. They have hit 132 doubles, while taking a walk 288 times and earning 425 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies have an on-base percentage of .302 as well as a batting average of .235 this year. The Phillies hold a team slugging % of .397 and they are scoring 4.34 runs per game (18th in baseball). They have struck out on 860 occasions (6th in the league) and have tallied 774 hits.

The Phillies have a WHIP of 1.317 and have a FIP of 3.79 as a team for the season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.90 (957 strikeouts against 286 bases on balls). They are sitting at 26th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 857. They have given up 118 homers and they yield 4.54 runs per 9 innings (16th in the league). The Philadelphia pitching staff have allowed 438 runs this year and come in with a team ERA of 4.23 (408 earned runs yielded).

They rank 3rd in the league with a save rate of 74.4%, and they have dispatched 325 relief pitchers to the hill this year. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 85 times in high leverage situations in addition to 73 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 80 save situations, the Phillies have accumulated 39 holds in addition to 10 blown saves. Philadelphia has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 39 save chances and they have tallied 29 saves. Philadelphia bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 34.7% out of their 101 inherited runners.

In their 7,815 innings on the diamond, the Phillies have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 67.0% (29th in baseball). The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 55 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .986 (15th in baseball). The Phillies have accrued 803 assists, 48 errors and have a tally of 2,605 putouts this season.

So far in his pro baseball career, Luzardo has conceded 728 base knocks while totaling 911 strikeouts in 805 innings. Luzardo (49-45 career mark) is the owner of a 4.10 earned run average while allowing 8.1 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded a total of 367 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.242 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.0. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.35 and he has faced 3,367 hitters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-132) and under 8.5 runs

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