New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 7/19/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Sunday, July 19, 2026

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+120) Philadelphia (-144)

The Philadelphia Phillies (54-44) are welcoming the New York Mets (41-57) at Citizens Bank Park on Sunday. The moneyline on this matchup has New York at +120 and Philadelphia is opening at -144. The betting total comes in at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start are Nolan McLean and Alan Rangel.

New York has a slugging rate of .382 and have struck out 805 times, while being walked on 305 occasions. They have accrued 383 runs batted in and 768 hits this season, while their average at the plate sits at .233. The Mets have accounted for 121 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 115 baseballs out of the park. They have earned a total of 402 runs and have an OBP of .303. As a squad, the New York Mets are scoring 4.1 runs per game, which has them sitting at 26th in MLB.

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The Mets have a team ERA of 4.24 for the year (18th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 894 hitters. Mets pitchers have allowed 108 home runs and also 464 runs in total (21st in baseball). They have walked 352 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.03 as a team this season. New York has yielded 788 base hits (8.1 per 9 innings) as well as 412 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.54 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.30.

The Mets have dispatched 305 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. The relievers have inherited 130 base runners for the season and 29.2% of them crossing home plate. The bullpen have a total of 38 holds on the campaign (27th in MLB). Mets bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 96 times in addition to having 107 appearances in high leverage situations. They have compiled 17 saves for the season and have blown 13 out of their 30 chances to save the game. The Mets relievers have earned a save percentage of 56.7% and stepped onto the hill in 68 save situations.

The New York Mets are sitting with 2,624 putouts on the year, in addition to 799 assists and 66 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .981 which ranks 29th in MLB, and have a total of 53 double plays. The Mets have converted 69.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 7,872 innings on the diamond, ranking them 22nd in the majors.

McLean has pitched in 155 frames and has tallied 182 punch outs so far in his career. McLean (11-7 career record) has earned a FIP of 3.03 and he has faced 636 opposing batters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.08 (53 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.096. He has given up 115 base hits (6.7 hits per 9 innings) and has 55 free passes.

The Philadelphia Phillies have tallied a team OBP of .302 as well as a batting average of .235 for the season. They have been rung up on 860 instances (6th in the league) and have recorded 774 hits. Philadelphia has tallied 125 HRs this year as well as 410 RBIs. The Phillies hold a team slugging percentage of .397 and they are scoring 4.34 runs per contest (18th in MLB). They have hit 132 two-baggers, while taking a walk 288 times and racking up 425 runs.

The Phillies have a team WHIP of 1.317 with a FIP of 3.79 as a staff for the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.90 (957 strikeouts against 286 walks). They come in at 26th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 857. They have allowed 118 dingers and they relinquish 4.54 runs per 9 innings (16th in MLB). The Philadelphia pitching staff have yielded 438 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.23 (408 earned runs surrendered).

Sitting with 80 save situations, the Phillies have accrued 39 holds in addition to 10 blown saves. Philadelphia has had relief pitchers enter the game in 39 save opportunities and they have converted 29 saves. Philadelphia relievers have an inherited score rate of 34.7% out of their 101 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 85 times in high leverage situations and also on 73 occasions with runners on. They are ranked 3rd in baseball with a save rate of 74.4%, and they have dispatched 325 bullpen pitchers to the hill on the season.

In 7,815 innings played, the Phillies have a defensive efficiency of 67.0% (29th in professional baseball). The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 55 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (15th in MLB). The Phillies have 803 assists, 48 errors and have notched a total of 2,605 putouts so far this season.

In his career, Rangel has surrendered 28 hits while accumulating 30 punch outs in 30 innings. He has given up 12 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.429 and having a FIP of 3.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.00 and he has gone up against 131 opposing hitters during his career. Rangel (0-2 career mark) has earned a 3.59 ERA while allowing 8.4 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (+120)

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