New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 8/7/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Friday, August 7, 2026

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-182) Pittsburgh (+150)

The Pittsburgh Pirates (57-59) will play the New York Mets (49-66) at PNC Park on Friday. The moneyline on this contest has the Mets at -182 and the Pirates are at +150. The over/under is 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Zac Thornton and Carmen Mlodzinski.

New York owns a slugging percentage of .383 and have been called out on strikes 978 times, while taking a walk on 365 occasions. They have 446 RBI's as well as 897 base knocks on the year, while their average at the plate comes in at .232. The Mets have compiled 143 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 137 baseballs out of the park. They have earned a total of 469 runs while having a team OBP of .303. As a unit, the New York Mets are notching 4.1 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 27th in MLB.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.57 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.30. Mets pitchers have surrendered 124 home runs and 522 runs (19th in MLB). New York has yielded 924 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) as well as 464 earned runs. The Mets hold a team ERA of 4.07 so far this season (12th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,038 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 404 opposing players and their FIP sits at 3.98 as a squad so far this season.

Mets pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 108 times in addition to having 119 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 45 holds for the season (27th in the league). The Mets relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 58.8% and have stepped onto the mound in 79 save situations. They have accumulated 20 saves so far this season and have not converted 14 of their 34 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 148 base runners on the year and 29.1% of them crossing home plate. The Mets have dispatched 352 relief pitchers to the hill for the year.

The New York Mets have earned a total of 3,077 putouts this year, in addition to 927 assists and 78 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .981 which has them ranked 29th in professional baseball, and have earned 70 double plays. The Mets have transformed 69.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of 9,231 innings, ranking them 20th in professional baseball.

Thornton has taken the hill for 34 innings and is sitting with 24 K's in his career. His earned run average is 2.90 (11 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.056. He has conceded 26 base hits (6.9 hits per 9 innings) and has had 10 free passes. Thornton (2-2 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 2.86 while going up against 134 hitters during his time in the major leagues.

The Pirates have a team SLG% of .413 and they tally 5.05 runs per outing (4th in MLB). They have recorded 179 doubles, while walking 419 times and earning 586 runs. Pittsburgh is sitting with 142 home runs this year as well as 561 RBIs. They have struck out on 1,101 instances (1st in MLB) and have earned 1,030 base hits. The Pittsburgh Pirates have compiled a team OBP of .333 as well as a team batting average of .256 so far this season.

The Pittsburgh pitching staff have surrendered 559 runs on the season while having an ERA of 4.30 (495 earned runs surrendered). They have yielded 120 home runs and they surrender 4.86 runs per 9 innings (23rd in the league). The Pirates have a team WHIP of 1.327 in addition to having a FIP of 3.93 as a team for the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.40 (1,077 strikeouts vs 424 walks). They rank 19th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 951.

Pittsburgh relievers have an inherited score percentage of 32.4% of 142 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 108 times in high leverage situations and on 102 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 94 save situations, the Pirates have accrued 50 holds and 20 blown saves. They sit at 27th in baseball with a save percentage of 53.5%, and they have sent 368 relievers to the mound over the course of the season.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have turned 91 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .983 (23rd in the majors). The Pirates have racked up 902 assists, 70 errors and have accumulated 3,110 putouts on the campaign. In 9,330 innings on the diamond, the Pirates are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.6% (27th in professional baseball).

Mlodzinski (19-19 record in his career) is the owner of a 3.22 ERA while allowing 8.5 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.58 and he has faced 1,182 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career. He has given up a total of 100 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.285 and having a FIP of 3.2. In his pro baseball career, Mlodzinski has surrendered 264 base knocks while he has accumulated 245 strikeouts in 279 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-182)

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