New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 6/5/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs San Diego Padres

Date: Friday, June 5, 2026

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Padres.TV

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-128) San Diego (+106)

The New York Mets (26-35) are en route to Petco Park on Friday where they will play the San Diego Padres (32-27). The odds on this game have New York at -128 while San Diego is at +106. The total is 9. The men taking the mound are Christian Scott and Michael King.

As a squad, the New York Mets are knocking in 4.0 runs per outing, which has them at 24th in MLB. They have accounted for 244 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .292. The Mets have hit 75 doubles as a squad and have hit 61 baseballs out of the stadium. They have tallied 233 runs batted in as well as 458 base knocks on the season, while their average at the plate sits at .225. New York is slugging .358 and have struck out 495 times, while taking a walk on 176 occasions.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.50 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.30. Mets pitchers have conceded 54 long balls in addition to 263 total runs (14th in baseball). New York has conceded 483 base hits (7.9 per 9 innings) in addition to 234 earned runs. The Mets have an earned run average of 3.85 on the year (9th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 568 batters. They have walked 227 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.70 as a team on the year.

Mets relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 70 times and also have had 82 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have racked up 25 holds so far this year (26th in MLB). The Mets relievers have recorded a save percentage of 55.6% and have come into the game in 43 save situations. They have earned 10 saves so far this season and have blown 8 of 18 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 87 base runners so far this year and 32.2% of those runners earned a run for their team. The Mets have sent 185 relievers to the mound this season.

The New York Mets have accumulated 1,643 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 497 assists and 34 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .984 which ranks 21st in baseball, and they have turned 32 double plays. The Mets have converted 69.4% of baseballs in play into outs in their 4,929 innings, which has them sitting at 22nd in baseball.

Scott has pitched in 77 innings and has 77 K's during his MLB career. Scott (1-3 career mark) has a FIP of 3.90 while he has faced 332 batters in the majors. His ERA is 3.96 (34 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.282. He has surrendered 71 base knocks (8.3 hits per 9 innings) with 28 walks.

The Padres have a team slugging % of .363 and they have an average of 3.88 runs per contest (29th in MLB). They have hit 80 two-baggers, while taking a walk 191 times as well as putting up 229 runs. San Diego has compiled 61 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 222 RBIs. They have struck out on 502 occasions (16th in MLB) and have recorded 418 base hits. The San Diego Padres have a team OBP of .293 as well as a team batting average of .218 on the season.

The Padres have a WHIP of 1.263 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.90 as a team over the course of the season. They are currently ranked 5th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 455. The San Diego pitching staff have yielded 236 runs on the year while having a team ERA of 3.92 (228 earned runs allowed). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.40 (488 strikeouts vs 207 bases on balls). They have surrendered 54 long balls and they surrender 4.05 runs per 9 innings (7th in the league).

Sitting with 70 save situations, the Padres have recorded 39 holds and also 9 blown saves. San Diego has had relievers take the mound in 29 save opportunities and they have tallied 20 saves. San Diego bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 33.3% out of their 102 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 65 times in high leverage situations in addition to 56 occasions with runners on. They are currently ranked 10th in MLB with a save percentage of 69.0%, and they have dispatched 198 relievers to the hill for the season.

The San Diego Padres have turned 50 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .992 (1st in pro baseball). The Padres have accrued 530 assists, 18 errors and have a tally of 1,572 putouts over the course of the season. In 4,716 innings played, the Padres have a defensive efficiency of 71.0% (10th in baseball).

In his MLB career, King has conceded 466 hits and he has 624 punch outs in 562 innings. King (35-33 career mark) has earned a 3.23 earned run average and has given up 7.5 hits per nine innings. He has allowed a total of 202 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.186 and a FIP of 3.2. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.10 and he has faced 2,342 opposing batters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego (+106)

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