New York Mets vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 3/30/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Monday, March 30, 2026

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: Cardinals.TV

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+106) St. Louis (-128)

The New York Mets (2-0) are en route to Busch Stadium on Monday where they will attempt to defeat the St. Louis Cardinals (2-0). The moneyline on this matchup has New York at +106 and St. Louis is sitting at -128. The total has been set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Clay Holmes and Kyle Leahy.

As a team, the New York Mets are earning 7.5 runs per game, which is 2nd in baseball. They are sitting with 15 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .384. The Mets have tallied 1 double as a team and have hit 3 balls out of the stadium. They have accumulated 15 runs batted in as well as 17 hits on the campaign, while their team batting average is sitting at .246. New York has a slugging percentage of .420 and have been called out on strikes 18 times, while being walked on 14 occasions.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.75 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.30. Mets pitchers have surrendered 3 long balls and also 9 runs in total (13th in MLB). New York has given up 22 hits (9.9 per 9 innings) and 7 earned runs. The Mets have an ERA of 3.15 over the course of the season (12th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 19 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 4 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.56 as a team on the season.

Mets bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 3 times as well as having 6 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have no holds for the year (25th in baseball). The bullpen pitchers have inherited 2 runners over the course of the season with 0.0% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Mets have sent 8 relief pitchers to the hill on the year.

The Minnesota Twins have earned a total of 60 putouts this year, in addition to 20 assists and 1 error. Their fielding percentage sits at .988 which has them ranked 13th in the majors, and have a total of no double plays. The Mets have transformed 67.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of 180 innings, ranking them 21st in professional baseball.

Holmes has taken the hill for 502 innings and is sitting with 489 K's in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.66 (204 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.304. He has allowed 436 base hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) and has had 219 walks. Holmes (36-30 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 3.60 while he has faced 2,168 batters during his time in the major leagues.

The St. Louis Cardinals have recorded an on-base percentage of .307 and a batting average of .290 for the season. They have struck out on 11 occasions (29th in the league) and have 20 base hits. St. Louis has knocked in 2 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 15 RBIs. The Cardinals have a team SLG% of .435 and they have an average of 7.50 runs per game (3rd in baseball). They have tallied 4 two-baggers, while getting a free base 3 times and recording 15 runs.

The St. Louis pitching staff have conceded 12 runs for the year while holding an ERA of 5.21 (11 earned runs surrendered). They have surrendered 1 home run and they yield 5.68 runs per 9 innings (22nd in the league). The Cardinals hold a team WHIP of 1.737 in addition to having a FIP of 3.65 as a pitching staff on the campaign. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 6.20 (13 strikeouts vs 9 free passes). They are sitting at 28th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 24.

Their relief pitchers have come in 4 times in high leverage situations and also on 4 occasions with runners on base. They rank 11th in MLB with a save rate of 50.0%, and they have dispatched 10 relievers onto the diamond on the campaign.

In 171 innings on the field, the Cardinals have a defensive efficiency of 63.1% (29th in the majors). The St. Louis Cardinals have turned 2 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .973 (21st in professional baseball). The Cardinals have accrued 15 assists, 2 errors and have amassed 57 putouts during this campaign.

Leahy (5-4 win-loss record in his career) holds a 3.65 ERA while allowing 8.1 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.67 and he has gone up against 569 hitters in his pro baseball career. He has surrendered a total of 56 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.209 and a FIP of 3.6. So far in his career, Leahy has given up 124 hits while he has earned 115 strikeouts in 138 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take St. Louis (-128)

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