New York Mets vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 4/1/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Wednesday, April 1, 2026

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: Cardinals.TV

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-196) St. Louis (+162)

Busch Stadium is where the St. Louis Cardinals (2-2) will meet the New York Mets (3-1) on Wednesday. The odds on this game have New York at -196 while St. Louis is sitting at +162. The total has been set at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Freddy Peralta and Matthew Liberatore.

The Mets have accrued 5 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 3 baseballs out of the park. New York has a slugging rate of .394 and have been rung up 38 times, while being walked on 21 occasions. As a team, the New York Mets are putting up 5.5 runs per game, which is 7th in baseball. They have tallied 22 runs batted in as well as 36 base knocks so far this season, and their average at the plate is sitting at .254. They have a total of 22 runs and have an on-base percentage of .357.

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The Mets have a team ERA of 2.77 so far this year (6th in the league), and they have struck out 40 hitters. Mets pitchers have yielded 5 home runs in addition to 15 runs in total (11th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 15 hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.06 as a squad so far this year. New York has surrendered 34 hits (7.8 per 9 innings) and 12 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.67 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.26.

Mets bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 4 times as well as having 10 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have racked up 2 holds on the season (16th in baseball). The relievers have inherited 2 base runners for the year and neither of those players crossed home plate. The Mets have dispatched 15 relievers to the mound so far this year.

The Minnesota Twins have earned a total of 117 putouts thus far, in addition to 43 assists and 2 errors. Their fielding rate is at .988 which ranks 13th in pro baseball, and have earned 2 double plays. The Mets have converted 71.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 351 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 14th in MLB.

Peralta has thrown 936 innings and has accumulated 1,160 strikeouts in his MLB career. Peralta (71-42 win-loss mark in his career) has a FIP of 3.55 while he has gone up against 3,874 batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 3.61 (375 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.132. He has conceded 700 hits (6.7 hits per 9 innings) with 360 free passes.

The Cardinals hold a team SLG% of .445 and they tally 6.00 runs per outing (6th in the league). They have 7 doubles, while taking a walk 9 times as well as racking up 24 runs. St. Louis has knocked in 6 long balls this season as well as 23 runs batted in. They have struck out on 25 occasions (29th in MLB) and have recorded 36 base hits. The St. Louis Cardinals have earned a team on-base percentage of .302 as well as a batting average of .263 on the year.

The Cardinals are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.865 in addition to having a FIP of 3.86 as a pitching staff for the season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 5.60 (23 strikeouts against 18 bases on balls). They rank 30th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 51. They have yielded 1 HR and they allow 6.57 runs per 9 innings (28th in the league). The St. Louis pitching staff have conceded 27 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 6.32 (26 earned runs yielded).

Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 3 times in high leverage situations and on 5 occasions with base runners. They are ranked 24th in MLB holding a save rate of 50.0%, and they have sent 16 relief pitchers onto the field this year.

In 333 innings on the diamond, the Cardinals have earned a defensive efficiency of 62.2% (29th in MLB). The St. Louis Cardinals have gotten 3 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (14th in baseball). The Cardinals have racked up 36 assists, 2 errors and are sitting with 111 putouts this year.

During his MLB career, Liberatore has surrendered 354 base knocks and he has 274 K's in 339 innings pitched. He has surrendered a total of 173 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.378 and having a FIP of 4.5. His K/BB ratio is 2.42 and he has faced 1,466 opposing hitters thus far in his career. Liberatore (16-24 career record) is the owner of a 4.59 earned run average while surrendering 9.4 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (-196)

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