New York Mets vs Texas Rangers Prediction, 9/22/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Texas Rangers

Date: Tuesday, September 22, 2026

Location: Globe Life Field in Arlington, TX

TV: Rangers Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-182) Texas (+150)

The New York Mets (71-85) are traveling to Globe Life Field on Tuesday where they will attempt to defeat the Texas Rangers (78-78). The odds on this game have the Mets at -182 and the Rangers are priced at +150. The over/under is set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Sean Manaea and MacKenzie Gore.

The Mets have earned 198 two-baggers as a team and have hit 194 baseballs out of the stadium. New York has a slugging percentage of .394 and have struck out 1,314 times, while being walked on 504 occasions. As a squad, the New York Mets are recording 4.3 runs per game, which has them at 22nd in MLB. They have accumulated 639 RBI's in addition to 1,258 hits on the year, while their average at the plate is sitting at .239. They have earned 668 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .309.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.60 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.30. Mets pitchers have yielded 179 long balls in addition to 709 runs in total (18th in MLB). New York has allowed 1,270 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) and also 644 earned runs. The Mets hold a team earned run average of 4.17 on the season (17th in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,398 batters. They have walked 537 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.08 as a team on the campaign.

Mets bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 141 times as well as having 157 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have 71 holds for the year (27th in baseball). The Mets relievers have compiled a save rate of 61.2% and have entered the game in 124 save situations. They have compiled 30 saves this year and have blown 19 out of their 49 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 199 runners this season and 27.6% of those players crossing the plate. The Mets have dispatched 485 relief pitchers to the hill for the season.

The Mets have converted 69.5% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,516 innings, which has them ranked 18th in pro baseball. The New York Mets have accumulated 4,172 putouts on the campaign, as well as 1,203 assists and 91 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .983 which is 24th in pro baseball, and they have turned 94 double plays.

Manaea has taken the hill for 1,383 innings and has accumulated 1,316 K's in his career. Manaea (84-73 win-loss record in his career) holds a FIP of 4.09 and he has gone up against 5,797 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.15 (638 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.215. He has allowed 1,292 base knocks (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and has had 388 walks.

The Rangers hold a team SLG% of .398 and they tally 4.19 runs per game (25th in baseball). They have hit 228 doubles, while taking a walk 515 times as well as putting up 653 runs. Texas has accumulated 176 HRs on the campaign and 629 RBIs. They have struck out on 1,334 occasions (10th in MLB) and have a total of 1,258 hits. The Texas Rangers have tallied a team OBP of .319 in addition to a batting average of .243 this season.

The Rangers have a team WHIP of 1.300 and have a FIP of 4.14 as a pitching staff on the year. They rank 19th in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 1,302. The Texas pitching staff have relinquished 687 runs so far this year and come in with a team ERA of 4.28 (650 earned runs conceded). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.50 (1,297 strikeouts vs 475 free passes). They have given up 184 HR's and they give up 4.52 runs per 9 innings (16th in the league).

Texas bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 31.5% out of their 213 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 139 times in high leverage situations in addition to 141 occasions with runners on. With 143 save situations, the Rangers have 80 holds and 19 blown saves. They sit at 9th in baseball holding a save rate of 68.9%, and they have sent 511 relief pitchers to the hill this season.

Out of their 12,306 innings on the field, the Rangers have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (14th in the majors). The Texas Rangers have gotten 98 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .988 (6th in the majors). The Rangers have racked up 1,223 assists, 66 errors and have notched a total of 4,102 putouts this year.

So far in his MLB career, Gore has conceded 678 hits while he has tallied 761 strikeouts in 697 frames. He has conceded 334 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.391 and a FIP of 4.2. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.61 and he has faced 3,022 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career. Gore (34-52 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 4.31 earned run average while giving up 8.8 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Texas (+150)

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