New York Mets vs Texas Rangers Prediction, 9/23/2026 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New York Mets vs Texas Rangers

Date: Wednesday, September 23, 2026

Location: Globe Life Field in Arlington, TX

TV: Rangers Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: New York (-152) Texas (+126)

The Texas Rangers (78-78) are welcoming the New York Mets (71-85) at Globe Life Field on Wednesday. The moneyline on this game has the Mets at -152 and the Rangers are at +126. The over/under comes in at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Nolan McLean and Cody Bradford.

The Mets have hit 198 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 194 balls out of the park. New York has a slugging percentage of .394 and have been called out on strikes 1,314 times, while being walked on 504 occasions. As a team, the New York Mets are knocking in 4.3 runs per game, which has them sitting at 22nd in the league. They have 639 runs batted in in addition to 1,258 hits for the season, while their team batting average is at .239. They have 668 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .309.

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The Mets hold a team earned run average of 4.17 so far this year (17th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 1,398 hitters. Mets pitchers have relinquished 179 long balls in addition to 709 runs (18th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 537 hitters and their FIP sits at 4.08 as a unit so far this year. New York has surrendered 1,270 base knocks (8.2 per 9 innings) as well as 644 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.60 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.30.

The Mets have sent 485 relievers to the hill this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 199 base runners so far this season with 27.6% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The relief pitchers are sitting with 71 holds this year (27th in baseball). Mets bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 141 times in addition to having 157 appearances in high leverage situations. They have compiled 30 saves so far this season and have blown 19 of 49 chances to save the game. The Mets relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 61.2% and stepped onto the hill in 124 save situations.

The New York Mets have notched a total of 4,172 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,203 assists and 91 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .983 which is 24th in baseball, and have a total of 94 double plays. The Mets have turned 69.5% of balls in play into outs in their 12,516 innings, which ranks them 18th in MLB.

McLean has taken the mound for 220 innings and is sitting with 246 punch outs so far in his career. McLean (16-11 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 2.90 while facing 910 batters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 2.94 (72 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.163. He has given up 171 hits (7.0 hits per nine innings) and has had 85 free passes.

The Texas Rangers have an OBP of .319 as well as a batting average of .243 on the year. They have been called out on strikes on 1,334 instances (10th in baseball) and have accounted for 1,258 base hits. Texas has a total of 176 home runs so far this year to go along with 629 runs batted in. The Rangers hold a team slugging % of .398 and they earn 4.19 runs per game (25th in baseball). They have tallied 228 two-baggers, while walking 515 times as well as scoring 653 runs.

The Rangers hold a team WHIP of 1.300 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.14 as a squad for the year. They are currently ranked 18th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,302. The Texas pitching staff have surrendered 687 runs for the year while having an ERA of 4.28 (650 earned runs surrendered). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.50 (1,297 strikeouts against 475 walks). They have relinquished 184 home runs and they allow 4.52 runs per 9 innings (16th in the league).

They rank 9th in the league holding a save percentage of 68.9%, and they have dispatched 511 relievers to the mound for the year. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 139 times in high leverage situations in addition to 141 occasions with runners on base. With 143 save situations, the Rangers have compiled 80 holds and 19 blown saves. Texas has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 61 save opportunities and they have come away with 42 saves. Texas relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 31.5% out of their 213 inherited runners.

The Texas Rangers have gotten 98 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .988 (6th in the majors). The Rangers have 1,223 assists, 66 errors and have earned a total of 4,102 putouts so far this year. In their 12,306 innings played, the Rangers have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 69.7% (14th in pro baseball).

Bradford (10-11 career mark) is the owner of a 4.28 ERA while conceding 8.9 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.03 and he has faced 711 batters so far in his career. He has allowed 81 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.192 and a FIP of 4.2. During his pro baseball career, Bradford has surrendered 168 hits while he has accumulated 141 punch outs in 170 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-152)

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